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Precipitation in London in May?

icon for Precipitation in London in May?

Precipitation in London in May?

<5mm 100.0%

5-10mm <1%

10-15mm <1%

15-20mm <1%

Polymarket

$29,939 交易量

<5mm 100.0%

5-10mm <1%

10-15mm <1%

15-20mm <1%

Polymarket

$29,939 交易量

<5mm

$13,486 交易量

Yes

5-10mm

$9,128 交易量

No

10-15mm

$841 交易量

No

15-20mm

$779 交易量

No

20-25mm

$1,477 交易量

No

25-30mm

$2,364 交易量

No

30mm+

$1,863 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,939
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure blocking across northwest Europe, reinforced by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase, suppressed Atlantic fronts and delivered an exceptionally dry May 2026 across southeast England. Official Met Office and Heathrow station data confirm totals well below the 50–60 mm climatological norm, aligning with the market’s near-certain <5 mm resolution. Model consensus and real-time gauge networks showed minimal measurable rainfall through the final week, locking in the outcome ahead of any post-month verification. Only an unforeseen late-May convective event or official data revision could alter the result, though current observations make such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,939
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for May 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of May 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Precipitation in London in May?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"<5mm",概率为 100%,其次是"5-10mm",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Precipitation in London in May?"已产生 $29.9K 的总交易量(自Apr 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Precipitation in London in May?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Precipitation in London in May?"的当前领先者是"<5mm",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"5-10mm",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Precipitation in London in May?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。