Recent polling for Pernambuco’s October 2026 gubernatorial election shows incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with João Campos (PSB) in first-round scenarios, with Lyra often ahead in second-round head-to-heads. Lyra’s PSD convention recently formalized her re-election bid, while Campos’s PSB entry and broad coalition building have consolidated the main opposition. Multiple July–August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Lyra between 43–48% and Campos between 37–43%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and remaining candidates registering minimal support. Traders price Lyra highest, reflecting her incumbency, statewide name recognition, and consistent polling position, while Campos’s lower share aligns with the competitive but trailing position shown in the latest voter-intention data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉克尔·利拉 68%
若昂·坎波斯 27%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 <1%
$25,901 交易量
$25,901 交易量
2026-10-04
拉克尔·利拉
68%
若昂·坎波斯
27%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
<1%
拉克尔·利拉 68%
若昂·坎波斯 27%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 <1%
$25,901 交易量
$25,901 交易量
2026-10-04
拉克尔·利拉
$11,485 交易量
68%
若昂·坎波斯
$12,265 交易量
27%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
$2,151 交易量
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Pernambuco’s October 2026 gubernatorial election shows incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with João Campos (PSB) in first-round scenarios, with Lyra often ahead in second-round head-to-heads. Lyra’s PSD convention recently formalized her re-election bid, while Campos’s PSB entry and broad coalition building have consolidated the main opposition. Multiple July–August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Lyra between 43–48% and Campos between 37–43%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and remaining candidates registering minimal support. Traders price Lyra highest, reflecting her incumbency, statewide name recognition, and consistent polling position, while Campos’s lower share aligns with the competitive but trailing position shown in the latest voter-intention data.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$25,901结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Pernambuco’s October 2026 gubernatorial election shows incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with João Campos (PSB) in first-round scenarios, with Lyra often ahead in second-round head-to-heads. Lyra’s PSD convention recently formalized her re-election bid, while Campos’s PSB entry and broad coalition building have consolidated the main opposition. Multiple July–August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Lyra between 43–48% and Campos between 37–43%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and remaining candidates registering minimal support. Traders price Lyra highest, reflecting her incumbency, statewide name recognition, and consistent polling position, while Campos’s lower share aligns with the competitive but trailing position shown in the latest voter-intention data.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$25,901结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Pernambuco’s October 2026 gubernatorial election shows incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with João Campos (PSB) in first-round scenarios, with Lyra often ahead in second-round head-to-heads. Lyra’s PSD convention recently formalized her re-election bid, while Campos’s PSB entry and broad coalition building have consolidated the main opposition. Multiple July–August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Lyra between 43–48% and Campos between 37–43%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and remaining candidates registering minimal support. Traders price Lyra highest, reflecting her incumbency, statewide name recognition, and consistent polling position, while Campos’s lower share aligns with the competitive but trailing position shown in the latest voter-intention data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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