The People's Bank of China has maintained its key policy benchmarks, including the seven-day reverse repo rate at 1.4% and loan prime rates at 3.0% and 3.5%, through repeated monthly fixings since May 2025. Recent open-market operations have continued liquidity injections at unchanged rates, while authorities prioritize structural tools, bank recapitalization, and fiscal coordination amid resilient exports and managed currency conditions. This steady approach underpins trader consensus for no alteration by September 30. A shift would require an abrupt escalation in domestic demand weakness or external shocks sufficient to override the current data-dependent stance within the narrow remaining window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于不变 94.8%
降息 5.0%
加息 <1%
$53,293 交易量
$53,293 交易量
2026-09-30
加息
<1%
不变
95%
降息
5%
不变 94.8%
降息 5.0%
加息 <1%
$53,293 交易量
$53,293 交易量
2026-09-30
加息
$5,989 交易量
<1%
不变
$24,579 交易量
95%
降息
$22,725 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its key policy benchmarks, including the seven-day reverse repo rate at 1.4% and loan prime rates at 3.0% and 3.5%, through repeated monthly fixings since May 2025. Recent open-market operations have continued liquidity injections at unchanged rates, while authorities prioritize structural tools, bank recapitalization, and fiscal coordination amid resilient exports and managed currency conditions. This steady approach underpins trader consensus for no alteration by September 30. A shift would require an abrupt escalation in domestic demand weakness or external shocks sufficient to override the current data-dependent stance within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
交易量
$53,293结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its key policy benchmarks, including the seven-day reverse repo rate at 1.4% and loan prime rates at 3.0% and 3.5%, through repeated monthly fixings since May 2025. Recent open-market operations have continued liquidity injections at unchanged rates, while authorities prioritize structural tools, bank recapitalization, and fiscal coordination amid resilient exports and managed currency conditions. This steady approach underpins trader consensus for no alteration by September 30. A shift would require an abrupt escalation in domestic demand weakness or external shocks sufficient to override the current data-dependent stance within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$53,293结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETThe People's Bank of China has maintained its key policy benchmarks, including the seven-day reverse repo rate at 1.4% and loan prime rates at 3.0% and 3.5%, through repeated monthly fixings since May 2025. Recent open-market operations have continued liquidity injections at unchanged rates, while authorities prioritize structural tools, bank recapitalization, and fiscal coordination amid resilient exports and managed currency conditions. This steady approach underpins trader consensus for no alteration by September 30. A shift would require an abrupt escalation in domestic demand weakness or external shocks sufficient to override the current data-dependent stance within the narrow remaining window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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