Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment at 54% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects race, driven by the franchise’s prior wins in the category, Denis Villeneuve’s large-scale world-building, and its late-December 2026 IMAX release positioning it as a spectacle frontrunner. Project Hail Mary sits at 25.5% following its earlier 2026 debut and reports of roughly 2,000 VFX shots blending practical and digital elements. The Odyssey, Godzilla Minus Zero, and Marvel titles like Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday trail at single-digit odds, reflecting earlier releases or less dominant early industry chatter. With dozens of 2026 films clustered near 50% amid thin liquidity and the extended timeline before nominations, key swing factors include critical reception upon release, VES Awards visibility, and guild signals that historically shape the visual effects branch’s shortlist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳视觉效果奖得主
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳视觉效果奖得主
沙丘：第三部 54%
拯救天堂计划 26%
奥德赛 11%
哥斯拉-1.0 10.0%
$18,849 交易量
$18,849 交易量
2027-03-14
沙丘：第三部
54%
拯救天堂计划
26%
奥德赛
11%
哥斯拉-1.0
10%
蜘蛛侠：全新纪元
4%
复仇者联盟：末日
3%
沙丘：第三部 54%
拯救天堂计划 26%
奥德赛 11%
哥斯拉-1.0 10.0%
$18,849 交易量
$18,849 交易量
2027-03-14
沙丘：第三部
$15,571 交易量
54%
拯救天堂计划
$1,626 交易量
26%
奥德赛
$470 交易量
11%
哥斯拉-1.0
$477 交易量
10%
蜘蛛侠：全新纪元
$282 交易量
4%
复仇者联盟：末日
$423 交易量
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment at 54% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects race, driven by the franchise’s prior wins in the category, Denis Villeneuve’s large-scale world-building, and its late-December 2026 IMAX release positioning it as a spectacle frontrunner. Project Hail Mary sits at 25.5% following its earlier 2026 debut and reports of roughly 2,000 VFX shots blending practical and digital elements. The Odyssey, Godzilla Minus Zero, and Marvel titles like Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday trail at single-digit odds, reflecting earlier releases or less dominant early industry chatter. With dozens of 2026 films clustered near 50% amid thin liquidity and the extended timeline before nominations, key swing factors include critical reception upon release, VES Awards visibility, and guild signals that historically shape the visual effects branch’s shortlist.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$18,849结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment at 54% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects race, driven by the franchise’s prior wins in the category, Denis Villeneuve’s large-scale world-building, and its late-December 2026 IMAX release positioning it as a spectacle frontrunner. Project Hail Mary sits at 25.5% following its earlier 2026 debut and reports of roughly 2,000 VFX shots blending practical and digital elements. The Odyssey, Godzilla Minus Zero, and Marvel titles like Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday trail at single-digit odds, reflecting earlier releases or less dominant early industry chatter. With dozens of 2026 films clustered near 50% amid thin liquidity and the extended timeline before nominations, key swing factors include critical reception upon release, VES Awards visibility, and guild signals that historically shape the visual effects branch’s shortlist.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,849结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETDune: Part Three leads trader sentiment at 54% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects race, driven by the franchise’s prior wins in the category, Denis Villeneuve’s large-scale world-building, and its late-December 2026 IMAX release positioning it as a spectacle frontrunner. Project Hail Mary sits at 25.5% following its earlier 2026 debut and reports of roughly 2,000 VFX shots blending practical and digital elements. The Odyssey, Godzilla Minus Zero, and Marvel titles like Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Avengers: Doomsday trail at single-digit odds, reflecting earlier releases or less dominant early industry chatter. With dozens of 2026 films clustered near 50% amid thin liquidity and the extended timeline before nominations, key swing factors include critical reception upon release, VES Awards visibility, and guild signals that historically shape the visual effects branch’s shortlist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题