Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actress race centers on Anne Hathaway’s reported role in The Odyssey, which commands the highest market-implied probability at 36.5% amid a fragmented field. Penélope Cruz follows at 15% on the strength of her dual-film campaigns, while emerging names like Mariana di Girolamo, Sandra Hüller, and Betty Gilpin sit in the mid-single digits on festival tracking and guild chatter. With 2026 releases still rolling out and no precursor awards yet, the market reflects broad uncertainty rather than consensus, as historical patterns show supporting categories often shift with late-year reviews, box-office data, and guild nominations. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and early critical response that could consolidate momentum before nominations voting opens in January 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 :最佳女配角获奖者
安妮·海瑟薇 37%
佩内洛普·克鲁兹 15%
玛丽亚娜·迪·吉罗拉莫 6.0%
Zendaya 5.9%
$16,083 交易量
$16,083 交易量

安妮·海瑟薇
37%

佩内洛普·克鲁兹
15%

玛丽亚娜·迪·吉罗拉莫
9%

Zendaya
6%

桑德拉·许勒
6%

贝蒂·吉尔平
6%

玛格丽特·库阿利
5%

Tao Okamoto
4%

帕克·波西
3%

伊莎贝拉·罗塞里尼
3%

丹妮尔·戴德怀勒
3%

杰玛·陈
2%

Inde Navarrette
2%
安妮·海瑟薇 37%
佩内洛普·克鲁兹 15%
玛丽亚娜·迪·吉罗拉莫 6.0%
Zendaya 5.9%
$16,083 交易量
$16,083 交易量

安妮·海瑟薇
37%

佩内洛普·克鲁兹
15%

玛丽亚娜·迪·吉罗拉莫
9%

Zendaya
6%

桑德拉·许勒
6%

贝蒂·吉尔平
6%

玛格丽特·库阿利
5%

Tao Okamoto
4%

帕克·波西
3%

伊莎贝拉·罗塞里尼
3%

丹妮尔·戴德怀勒
3%

杰玛·陈
2%

Inde Navarrette
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actress race centers on Anne Hathaway’s reported role in The Odyssey, which commands the highest market-implied probability at 36.5% amid a fragmented field. Penélope Cruz follows at 15% on the strength of her dual-film campaigns, while emerging names like Mariana di Girolamo, Sandra Hüller, and Betty Gilpin sit in the mid-single digits on festival tracking and guild chatter. With 2026 releases still rolling out and no precursor awards yet, the market reflects broad uncertainty rather than consensus, as historical patterns show supporting categories often shift with late-year reviews, box-office data, and guild nominations. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and early critical response that could consolidate momentum before nominations voting opens in January 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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