The Black Ball leads the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market at 68.5% implied probability, driven by early critical acclaim and festival momentum that has shaped trader consensus ahead of major precursors. A broad group of titles clusters at 50%, highlighting the open field typical this far out, when guild nominations and critics' circle results have yet to narrow the race. Lower-priced options such as Fjord at 13.5% and Possible Love at 5.1% reflect steeper barriers, including limited release visibility and historical voting patterns favoring established festival darlings. Upcoming critics' awards and early 2027 guild nods will likely serve as key swing factors in this category known for occasional late surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳国际故事片获奖者
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳国际故事片获奖者
黑球 68%
峡湾 14%
可能的爱 5.6%
突如其来 3.0%
$16,636 交易量
$16,636 交易量
2027-03-14
黑球
68%
峡湾
14%
可能的爱
6%
突如其来
3%
弥诺陶洛斯
2%
懦夫
2%
至爱
1%
苦涩圣诞
1%
盒中羊
1%
梦中的冒险
<1%
祖国
<1%
罗斯
<1%
我所爱的人
<1%
希望
<1%
平行故事
<1%
黑球 68%
峡湾 14%
可能的爱 5.6%
突如其来 3.0%
$16,636 交易量
$16,636 交易量
2027-03-14
黑球
$7,064 交易量
68%
峡湾
$1,098 交易量
14%
可能的爱
$769 交易量
6%
突如其来
$628 交易量
3%
弥诺陶洛斯
$711 交易量
2%
懦夫
$799 交易量
2%
至爱
$773 交易量
1%
苦涩圣诞
$527 交易量
1%
盒中羊
$672 交易量
1%
梦中的冒险
$542 交易量
<1%
祖国
$685 交易量
<1%
罗斯
$557 交易量
<1%
我所爱的人
$412 交易量
<1%
希望
$693 交易量
<1%
平行故事
$704 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market at 68.5% implied probability, driven by early critical acclaim and festival momentum that has shaped trader consensus ahead of major precursors. A broad group of titles clusters at 50%, highlighting the open field typical this far out, when guild nominations and critics' circle results have yet to narrow the race. Lower-priced options such as Fjord at 13.5% and Possible Love at 5.1% reflect steeper barriers, including limited release visibility and historical voting patterns favoring established festival darlings. Upcoming critics' awards and early 2027 guild nods will likely serve as key swing factors in this category known for occasional late surges.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
交易量
$16,636结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market at 68.5% implied probability, driven by early critical acclaim and festival momentum that has shaped trader consensus ahead of major precursors. A broad group of titles clusters at 50%, highlighting the open field typical this far out, when guild nominations and critics' circle results have yet to narrow the race. Lower-priced options such as Fjord at 13.5% and Possible Love at 5.1% reflect steeper barriers, including limited release visibility and historical voting patterns favoring established festival darlings. Upcoming critics' awards and early 2027 guild nods will likely serve as key swing factors in this category known for occasional late surges.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,636结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETThe Black Ball leads the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market at 68.5% implied probability, driven by early critical acclaim and festival momentum that has shaped trader consensus ahead of major precursors. A broad group of titles clusters at 50%, highlighting the open field typical this far out, when guild nominations and critics' circle results have yet to narrow the race. Lower-priced options such as Fjord at 13.5% and Possible Love at 5.1% reflect steeper barriers, including limited release visibility and historical voting patterns favoring established festival darlings. Upcoming critics' awards and early 2027 guild nods will likely serve as key swing factors in this category known for occasional late surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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