The closely matched market prices around 50% for most contenders reflect the early stage of the 2027 Oscars cycle, where trader sentiment hinges on announced casting lineups, director track records, and initial industry buzz rather than guild or critics' results. The Odyssey edges ahead at 52.5% on Christopher Nolan’s proven ability to attract top talent for large-scale epics and strong early casting reports. Films like The Black Ball and Cry to Heaven sit lower due to less prominent ensemble news or narrower release windows. Dune: Part Three and Michael trail further as their casting campaigns remain in earlier phases amid competition from other high-profile 2026 releases. Upcoming casting announcements and festival debuts could quickly shift these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
The Odyssey 53%
The Black Ball 16.1%
UNABOMBER 8%
Wild Horse Nine 6.3%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
The Odyssey
53%
The Black Ball
14%
UNABOMBER
8%
Wild Horse Nine
6%
Obsession
6%
Fjord
8%
Being Heumann
6%
Dune: Part Three
3%
Michael
2%
Digger
2%
Clarissa
1%
Saturn Return
<1%
Cry to Heaven
7%
The Odyssey 53%
The Black Ball 16.1%
UNABOMBER 8%
Wild Horse Nine 6.3%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
The Odyssey
$6,941 交易量
53%
The Black Ball
$312 交易量
14%
UNABOMBER
$262 交易量
8%
Wild Horse Nine
$253 交易量
6%
Obsession
$265 交易量
6%
Fjord
$261 交易量
8%
Being Heumann
$225 交易量
6%
Dune: Part Three
$178 交易量
3%
Michael
$203 交易量
2%
Digger
$270 交易量
2%
Clarissa
$311 交易量
1%
Saturn Return
$175 交易量
<1%
Cry to Heaven
$264 交易量
7%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched market prices around 50% for most contenders reflect the early stage of the 2027 Oscars cycle, where trader sentiment hinges on announced casting lineups, director track records, and initial industry buzz rather than guild or critics' results. The Odyssey edges ahead at 52.5% on Christopher Nolan’s proven ability to attract top talent for large-scale epics and strong early casting reports. Films like The Black Ball and Cry to Heaven sit lower due to less prominent ensemble news or narrower release windows. Dune: Part Three and Michael trail further as their casting campaigns remain in earlier phases amid competition from other high-profile 2026 releases. Upcoming casting announcements and festival debuts could quickly shift these implied probabilities.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$9,920结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched market prices around 50% for most contenders reflect the early stage of the 2027 Oscars cycle, where trader sentiment hinges on announced casting lineups, director track records, and initial industry buzz rather than guild or critics' results. The Odyssey edges ahead at 52.5% on Christopher Nolan’s proven ability to attract top talent for large-scale epics and strong early casting reports. Films like The Black Ball and Cry to Heaven sit lower due to less prominent ensemble news or narrower release windows. Dune: Part Three and Michael trail further as their casting campaigns remain in earlier phases amid competition from other high-profile 2026 releases. Upcoming casting announcements and festival debuts could quickly shift these implied probabilities.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,920结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe closely matched market prices around 50% for most contenders reflect the early stage of the 2027 Oscars cycle, where trader sentiment hinges on announced casting lineups, director track records, and initial industry buzz rather than guild or critics' results. The Odyssey edges ahead at 52.5% on Christopher Nolan’s proven ability to attract top talent for large-scale epics and strong early casting reports. Films like The Black Ball and Cry to Heaven sit lower due to less prominent ensemble news or narrower release windows. Dune: Part Three and Michael trail further as their casting campaigns remain in earlier phases amid competition from other high-profile 2026 releases. Upcoming casting announcements and festival debuts could quickly shift these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题