The tight contest for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar reflects an unusually crowded early field of prestige literary and genre adaptations, with trader consensus splitting closely among frontrunners. The Black Ball leads on the strength of its Cannes competition premiere, Best Director win for Los Javis, and strong critical reception for its queer historical epic drawn from Federico García Lorca source material. The Odyssey sits just behind, buoyed by Christopher Nolan’s post-release industry screenings and the director’s established Academy track record with epic source material. The Invite, Project Hail Mary, and Dune: Part Three follow as other notable contenders. Guild precursors, fall festival debuts, and late-year critical consensus will likely clarify momentum before nominations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Black Ball 28%
The Odyssey 27%
The Invite 18%
Project Hail Mary 6.7%
$20,062 交易量
$20,062 交易量
2027-03-14
The Black Ball
28%
The Odyssey
27%
The Invite
20%
Project Hail Mary
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
6%
Ink
6%
Dune: Part Three
5%
Wildwood
5%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Clarissa
2%
Saturn Return
1%
Cry to Heaven
1%
All of a Sudden
1%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Whisper Man
1%
The Black Ball 28%
The Odyssey 27%
The Invite 18%
Project Hail Mary 6.7%
$20,062 交易量
$20,062 交易量
2027-03-14
The Black Ball
$9,933 交易量
28%
The Odyssey
$1,891 交易量
27%
The Invite
$4,047 交易量
20%
Project Hail Mary
$449 交易量
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$246 交易量
6%
Ink
$829 交易量
6%
Dune: Part Three
$393 交易量
5%
Wildwood
$509 交易量
5%
The Social Reckoning
$232 交易量
5%
Clarissa
$162 交易量
2%
Saturn Return
$185 交易量
1%
Cry to Heaven
$201 交易量
1%
All of a Sudden
$475 交易量
1%
Toy Story 5
$323 交易量
1%
The Whisper Man
$187 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight contest for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar reflects an unusually crowded early field of prestige literary and genre adaptations, with trader consensus splitting closely among frontrunners. The Black Ball leads on the strength of its Cannes competition premiere, Best Director win for Los Javis, and strong critical reception for its queer historical epic drawn from Federico García Lorca source material. The Odyssey sits just behind, buoyed by Christopher Nolan’s post-release industry screenings and the director’s established Academy track record with epic source material. The Invite, Project Hail Mary, and Dune: Part Three follow as other notable contenders. Guild precursors, fall festival debuts, and late-year critical consensus will likely clarify momentum before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$20,062结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight contest for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar reflects an unusually crowded early field of prestige literary and genre adaptations, with trader consensus splitting closely among frontrunners. The Black Ball leads on the strength of its Cannes competition premiere, Best Director win for Los Javis, and strong critical reception for its queer historical epic drawn from Federico García Lorca source material. The Odyssey sits just behind, buoyed by Christopher Nolan’s post-release industry screenings and the director’s established Academy track record with epic source material. The Invite, Project Hail Mary, and Dune: Part Three follow as other notable contenders. Guild precursors, fall festival debuts, and late-year critical consensus will likely clarify momentum before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,062结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThe tight contest for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar reflects an unusually crowded early field of prestige literary and genre adaptations, with trader consensus splitting closely among frontrunners. The Black Ball leads on the strength of its Cannes competition premiere, Best Director win for Los Javis, and strong critical reception for its queer historical epic drawn from Federico García Lorca source material. The Odyssey sits just behind, buoyed by Christopher Nolan’s post-release industry screenings and the director’s established Academy track record with epic source material. The Invite, Project Hail Mary, and Dune: Part Three follow as other notable contenders. Guild precursors, fall festival debuts, and late-year critical consensus will likely clarify momentum before nominations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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