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icon for 纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?

纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?

icon for 纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?

纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$41,611 交易量

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$41,611 交易量

<20

$3,574 交易量

No

20-39

$17,365 交易量

Yes

40-59

$10,498 交易量

No

60-79

$3,286 交易量

No

80-99

$908 交易量

No

100-119

$907 交易量

No

120-139

$1,237 交易量

No

140-159

$949 交易量

No

160-179

$949 交易量

No

180-199

$994 交易量

No

200+

$945 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has established a steady posting cadence tied to routine City Hall announcements, press conferences, and policy updates.** Recent activity in mid-August 2026, including transportation and business grant releases, aligns with patterns that typically generate 3–5 posts per day across platforms. Traders price the 20–39 outcome at near-certainty because eight-day totals for comparable periods have consistently fallen in this band, reflecting institutional communications volume rather than campaign-style bursts. A surge past 40 posts would require multiple high-visibility events, viral controversies, or coordinated multi-post threads within the window; conversely, an unusually quiet stretch with minimal new initiatives could push totals below 20. Resolution hinges on verifiable posts timestamped August 11–18.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$41,611
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has established a steady posting cadence tied to routine City Hall announcements, press conferences, and policy updates.** Recent activity in mid-August 2026, including transportation and business grant releases, aligns with patterns that typically generate 3–5 posts per day across platforms. Traders price the 20–39 outcome at near-certainty because eight-day totals for comparable periods have consistently fallen in this band, reflecting institutional communications volume rather than campaign-style bursts. A surge past 40 posts would require multiple high-visibility events, viral controversies, or coordinated multi-post threads within the window; conversely, an unusually quiet stretch with minimal new initiatives could push totals below 20. Resolution hinges on verifiable posts timestamped August 11–18.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$41,611
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

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常见问题

"纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"20-39",概率为 100%,其次是"<20",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?"已产生 $41.6K 的总交易量(自Aug 8, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?"的当前领先者是"20-39",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<20",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纽约市长#职位2026年8月11日至8月18日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。