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icon for 在3月31日之前选出下一任泰国总理?

在3月31日之前选出下一任泰国总理?

icon for 在3月31日之前选出下一任泰国总理?

在3月31日之前选出下一任泰国总理?

>99% 概率
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

>99% 概率
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Thai lawmakers are poised to elect a new prime minister imminently following Srettha Thavisin's court removal last month, with Pheu Thai Party nominee Paetongtarn Shinawatra securing endorsements from the 314-seat ruling coalition in the 500-member House of Representatives. This overwhelming support, amid smooth nomination procedures, underpins trader consensus at 99.9% for selection by March 31, reflecting historical patterns where coalition majorities swiftly install successors. Realistic risks include unforeseen Constitutional Court interventions—common in Thai politics—or rare coalition defections, though current evidence shows strong unity ahead of the scheduled joint session.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Thai lawmakers are poised to elect a new prime minister imminently following Srettha Thavisin's court removal last month, with Pheu Thai Party nominee Paetongtarn Shinawatra securing endorsements from the 314-seat ruling coalition in the 500-member House of Representatives. This overwhelming support, amid smooth nomination procedures, underpins trader consensus at 99.9% for selection by March 31, reflecting historical patterns where coalition majorities swiftly install successors. Realistic risks include unforeseen Constitutional Court interventions—common in Thai politics—or rare coalition defections, though current evidence shows strong unity ahead of the scheduled joint session.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

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"在3月31日之前选出下一任泰国总理?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"泰国下任总理将在3月31日前选出?",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"在3月31日之前选出下一任泰国总理?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Dec 16, 2025上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

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"在3月31日之前选出下一任泰国总理?"的当前领先者是"泰国下任总理将在3月31日前选出?",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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