Jose Mourinho's commanding 93% implied probability stems from multiple reports confirming a verbal agreement for his return to Real Madrid on a two-year deal, following a trophyless 2025-26 campaign and dressing-room instability under recent leadership. After Alvaro Arbeloa's interim stint replacing Xabi Alonso in January, club president Florentino Perez has driven the move to restore order, with Mourinho providing a detailed transfer wishlist and receiving assurances on squad influence ahead of the summer window. The announcement awaits resolution of June 7 presidential elections, which could influence final terms but have not shifted the consensus. Arbeloa sits at 49.5% as the outgoing option, while longshots such as Jurgen Klopp remain distant amid the club's clear preference for Mourinho's proven La Liga experience and tactical discipline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于何塞·穆里尼奥 93.0%
尤尔根·克洛普 5.0%
迪迪埃·德尚 1.3%
毛里西奥·波切蒂诺 1.0%
$219,835 交易量
$219,835 交易量
何塞·穆里尼奥
93%
尤尔根·克洛普
5%
迪迪埃·德尚
1%
毛里西奥·波切蒂诺
1%
安多尼·伊劳拉
1%
恩佐·马雷斯卡
1%
朱利安·纳格尔斯曼
<1%
齐达内
<1%
马西米利亚诺·阿莱格里
<1%
托马斯·图赫尔
<1%
米克尔·阿尔特塔
<1%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳
<1%
乌奈·埃梅里
<1%
罗伯托·德泽尔比
<1%
路易斯·恩里克
<1%
利昂内尔·斯卡洛尼
<1%
何塞·穆里尼奥 93.0%
尤尔根·克洛普 5.0%
迪迪埃·德尚 1.3%
毛里西奥·波切蒂诺 1.0%
$219,835 交易量
$219,835 交易量
何塞·穆里尼奥
93%
尤尔根·克洛普
5%
迪迪埃·德尚
1%
毛里西奥·波切蒂诺
1%
安多尼·伊劳拉
1%
恩佐·马雷斯卡
1%
朱利安·纳格尔斯曼
<1%
齐达内
<1%
马西米利亚诺·阿莱格里
<1%
托马斯·图赫尔
<1%
米克尔·阿尔特塔
<1%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳
<1%
乌奈·埃梅里
<1%
罗伯托·德泽尔比
<1%
路易斯·恩里克
<1%
利昂内尔·斯卡洛尼
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jose Mourinho's commanding 93% implied probability stems from multiple reports confirming a verbal agreement for his return to Real Madrid on a two-year deal, following a trophyless 2025-26 campaign and dressing-room instability under recent leadership. After Alvaro Arbeloa's interim stint replacing Xabi Alonso in January, club president Florentino Perez has driven the move to restore order, with Mourinho providing a detailed transfer wishlist and receiving assurances on squad influence ahead of the summer window. The announcement awaits resolution of June 7 presidential elections, which could influence final terms but have not shifted the consensus. Arbeloa sits at 49.5% as the outgoing option, while longshots such as Jurgen Klopp remain distant amid the club's clear preference for Mourinho's proven La Liga experience and tactical discipline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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