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体育·西甲

下一任皇家马德里主帅？

icon for 下一任皇家马德里主帅？
体育·西甲

下一任皇家马德里主帅？

何塞·穆里尼奥 65%

迪迪埃·德尚 16.7%

毛里西奥·波切蒂诺 11.0%

尤尔根·克洛普 5.5%

Polymarket

$66,500 交易量

何塞·穆里尼奥 65%

迪迪埃·德尚 16.7%

毛里西奥·波切蒂诺 11.0%

尤尔根·克洛普 5.5%

Polymarket

$66,500 交易量

何塞·穆里尼奥

$25,490 交易量

65%

迪迪埃·德尚

$1,702 交易量

17%

毛里西奥·波切蒂诺

$1,547 交易量

14%

尤尔根·克洛普

$13,100 交易量

5%

恩佐·马雷斯卡

$3,748 交易量

5%

齐达内

$2,875 交易量

4%

马西米利亚诺·阿莱格里

$9,298 交易量

3%

乌奈·埃梅里

$812 交易量

2%

路易斯·恩里克

$1,258 交易量

2%

利昂内尔·斯卡洛尼

$654 交易量

1%

米克尔·阿尔特塔

$1,309 交易量

1%

奥利弗·格拉斯纳

$746 交易量

1%

罗伯托·德泽尔比

$674 交易量

<1%

安多尼·伊劳拉

$1,137 交易量

<1%

朱利安·纳格尔斯曼

$1,354 交易量

6%

托马斯·图赫尔

$797 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus positions Jose Mourinho at 64.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next head coach, fueled by president Florentino Pérez's strong reported preference for his return, leveraging past La Liga and Copa del Rey triumphs from 2010-13 alongside a disciplinarian approach to address dressing room unrest. Current manager Álvaro Arbeloa holds 49.5% amid his January appointment post-Xabi Alonso's sacking, but faces mounting pressure after the Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich in April and a second-place La Liga standing behind Barcelona. Recent player indiscipline—highlighted by Fede Valverde's traumatic brain injury and reports of squad mocking Arbeloa—has intensified calls for change, while Didier Deschamps at 16.8% reflects post-2026 World Cup appeal.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$66,500
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus positions Jose Mourinho at 64.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next head coach, fueled by president Florentino Pérez's strong reported preference for his return, leveraging past La Liga and Copa del Rey triumphs from 2010-13 alongside a disciplinarian approach to address dressing room unrest. Current manager Álvaro Arbeloa holds 49.5% amid his January appointment post-Xabi Alonso's sacking, but faces mounting pressure after the Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich in April and a second-place La Liga standing behind Barcelona. Recent player indiscipline—highlighted by Fede Valverde's traumatic brain injury and reports of squad mocking Arbeloa—has intensified calls for change, while Didier Deschamps at 16.8% reflects post-2026 World Cup appeal.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$66,500
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"何塞·穆里尼奥"，概率为 65%，其次是"迪迪埃·德尚"，概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 65¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 65%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"已产生 $66.5K 的总交易量（自Feb 17, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"的当前领先者是"何塞·穆里尼奥"，概率为 65%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 65%。紧随其后的结果是"迪迪埃·德尚"，概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。