Florentino Pérez’s explicit preference has driven José Mourinho to a dominant 92.8% implied probability in the trader consensus for Real Madrid’s next manager. After a trophyless 2025-26 La Liga campaign under Álvaro Arbeloa, the president identified the Portuguese coach—currently at Benfica with an active release clause—as the ideal candidate to restore squad discipline and high-stakes pedigree, culminating in a reported verbal agreement on a two-year deal. This alignment of club leadership and Mourinho’s willingness to return has produced the market’s overwhelming sentiment. Announcement timing remains subject to ongoing presidential elections, while any shift in Pérez’s stance or unexpected developments in squad planning could still open the door for alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于何塞·穆里尼奥 92.8%
尤尔根·克洛普 5.1%
迪迪埃·德尚 1.3%
毛里西奥·波切蒂诺 1.0%
$219,887 交易量
$219,887 交易量
何塞·穆里尼奥
93%
尤尔根·克洛普
5%
迪迪埃·德尚
1%
毛里西奥·波切蒂诺
1%
安多尼·伊劳拉
1%
恩佐·马雷斯卡
1%
朱利安·纳格尔斯曼
<1%
齐达内
<1%
马西米利亚诺·阿莱格里
<1%
托马斯·图赫尔
<1%
米克尔·阿尔特塔
<1%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳
<1%
乌奈·埃梅里
<1%
罗伯托·德泽尔比
<1%
路易斯·恩里克
<1%
利昂内尔·斯卡洛尼
<1%
何塞·穆里尼奥 92.8%
尤尔根·克洛普 5.1%
迪迪埃·德尚 1.3%
毛里西奥·波切蒂诺 1.0%
$219,887 交易量
$219,887 交易量
何塞·穆里尼奥
93%
尤尔根·克洛普
5%
迪迪埃·德尚
1%
毛里西奥·波切蒂诺
1%
安多尼·伊劳拉
1%
恩佐·马雷斯卡
1%
朱利安·纳格尔斯曼
<1%
齐达内
<1%
马西米利亚诺·阿莱格里
<1%
托马斯·图赫尔
<1%
米克尔·阿尔特塔
<1%
奥利弗·格拉斯纳
<1%
乌奈·埃梅里
<1%
罗伯托·德泽尔比
<1%
路易斯·恩里克
<1%
利昂内尔·斯卡洛尼
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florentino Pérez’s explicit preference has driven José Mourinho to a dominant 92.8% implied probability in the trader consensus for Real Madrid’s next manager. After a trophyless 2025-26 La Liga campaign under Álvaro Arbeloa, the president identified the Portuguese coach—currently at Benfica with an active release clause—as the ideal candidate to restore squad discipline and high-stakes pedigree, culminating in a reported verbal agreement on a two-year deal. This alignment of club leadership and Mourinho’s willingness to return has produced the market’s overwhelming sentiment. Announcement timing remains subject to ongoing presidential elections, while any shift in Pérez’s stance or unexpected developments in squad planning could still open the door for alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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