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魁北克下一任总理

icon for 魁北克下一任总理

魁北克下一任总理

$53,035 交易量

Polymarket

$53,035 交易量

icon for 伯纳德·德兰维尔

伯纳德·德兰维尔

$22,653 交易量

icon for 克里斯蒂娜·弗雷谢特

克里斯蒂娜·弗雷谢特

$30,382 交易量

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Fréchette's commanding 100% trader consensus as next Premier of Quebec stems from her victory in the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership race on April 12, 2026, defeating rival Bernard Drainville to succeed outgoing Premier François Legault, leader of the governing party since 2018. As CAQ holds a majority in the National Assembly, Fréchette, a former economy minister and Sanguinet MNA, will be sworn in imminently, formalizing her role ahead of the October 2026 general election. This reflects the institutional certainty of party leadership transitions in Quebec's parliamentary system. Realistic challenges include an early no-confidence vote, snap election called by Fréchette herself, or internal party revolt, though historical precedents favor stability for new incumbents.

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$53,035
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Fréchette's commanding 100% trader consensus as next Premier of Quebec stems from her victory in the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership race on April 12, 2026, defeating rival Bernard Drainville to succeed outgoing Premier François Legault, leader of the governing party since 2018. As CAQ holds a majority in the National Assembly, Fréchette, a former economy minister and Sanguinet MNA, will be sworn in imminently, formalizing her role ahead of the October 2026 general election. This reflects the institutional certainty of party leadership transitions in Quebec's parliamentary system. Realistic challenges include an early no-confidence vote, snap election called by Fréchette herself, or internal party revolt, though historical precedents favor stability for new incumbents.

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$53,035
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"魁北克下一任总理"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"克里斯蒂娜·弗雷谢特",概率为 100%,其次是"伯纳德·德兰维尔",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"魁北克下一任总理"已产生 $53K 的总交易量(自Apr 6, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"魁北克下一任总理"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"魁北克下一任总理"的当前领先者是"克里斯蒂娜·弗雷谢特",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"伯纳德·德兰维尔",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"魁北克下一任总理"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。