Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship, originally slated for June 2026 and later pushed to July for additional testing and feedback integration, continue to shape trader views that no new Pro-tier model will ship by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber focused on coding and cybersecurity gains, while internal resources shift toward training the more ambitious Gemini 4. Official statements confirm 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, and historical patterns of extended refinement for frontier models reinforce the market's strong consensus against a near-term launch. Key catalysts ahead include any October announcements tied to developer events or earnings updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在9月30日之前不发布 84%
9月23日 5.1%
9月24日 3.8%
9 月 30 日 3.3%
$94,142 交易量
$94,142 交易量
2026-09-15
9月15日
2%
9月16日
2%
9月17日
2%
9月18日
<1%
9月19日
1%
9 月 20 日
1%
9 月 21 日
2%
9月22日
3%
9月23日
5%
9月24日
4%
9月25日
1%
9月26日
1%
9 月 27 日
1%
9月28日
<1%
9 月 29 日
2%
9 月 30 日
3%
在9月30日之前不发布
84%
在9月30日之前不发布 84%
9月23日 5.1%
9月24日 3.8%
9 月 30 日 3.3%
$94,142 交易量
$94,142 交易量
2026-09-15
9月15日
$547 交易量
2%
9月16日
$543 交易量
2%
9月17日
$547 交易量
2%
9月18日
$310 交易量
<1%
9月19日
$307 交易量
1%
9 月 20 日
$307 交易量
1%
9 月 21 日
$537 交易量
2%
9月22日
$584 交易量
3%
9月23日
$464 交易量
5%
9月24日
$594 交易量
4%
9月25日
$303 交易量
1%
9月26日
$305 交易量
1%
9 月 27 日
$307 交易量
1%
9月28日
$503 交易量
<1%
9 月 29 日
$384 交易量
2%
9 月 30 日
$849 交易量
3%
在9月30日之前不发布
$79,354 交易量
84%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship, originally slated for June 2026 and later pushed to July for additional testing and feedback integration, continue to shape trader views that no new Pro-tier model will ship by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber focused on coding and cybersecurity gains, while internal resources shift toward training the more ambitious Gemini 4. Official statements confirm 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, and historical patterns of extended refinement for frontier models reinforce the market's strong consensus against a near-term launch. Key catalysts ahead include any October announcements tied to developer events or earnings updates.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$94,142结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship, originally slated for June 2026 and later pushed to July for additional testing and feedback integration, continue to shape trader views that no new Pro-tier model will ship by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber focused on coding and cybersecurity gains, while internal resources shift toward training the more ambitious Gemini 4. Official statements confirm 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, and historical patterns of extended refinement for frontier models reinforce the market's strong consensus against a near-term launch. Key catalysts ahead include any October announcements tied to developer events or earnings updates.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$94,142结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETGoogle's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship, originally slated for June 2026 and later pushed to July for additional testing and feedback integration, continue to shape trader views that no new Pro-tier model will ship by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber focused on coding and cybersecurity gains, while internal resources shift toward training the more ambitious Gemini 4. Official statements confirm 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, and historical patterns of extended refinement for frontier models reinforce the market's strong consensus against a near-term launch. Key catalysts ahead include any October announcements tied to developer events or earnings updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题