Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于截至7月31日不发布 100.0%
7 月 29 日 2.0%
7 月 24 日 <1%
在 7 月 1 日或之前 <1%
$378,664 交易量
$378,664 交易量
2026-07-31
在 7 月 1 日或之前
否
7 月 2 日
否
7 月 3 日
否
7 月 4 日
否
7 月 5 日
否
7 月 6 日
否
7 月 7 日
否
7月8日
否
7 月 9 日
否
7月10日
否
7月11日
否
7 月 12 日
否
7月13日
否
7 月 14 日
否
July 15
No
7月16日
否
7 月 17 日
否
7月18日
否
7 月 19 日
否
7月20日
否
7月21日
否
7 月 22 日
否
7月23日
否
7 月 24 日
否
July 25
No
7月26日
否
7 月 27 日
否
7 月 28 日
否
7 月 29 日
否
7月30日
否
7 月 31 日
否
截至7月31日不发布
是
截至7月31日不发布 100.0%
7 月 29 日 2.0%
7 月 24 日 <1%
在 7 月 1 日或之前 <1%
$378,664 交易量
$378,664 交易量
2026-07-31
在 7 月 1 日或之前
$787 交易量
否
7 月 2 日
$487 交易量
否
7 月 3 日
$682 交易量
否
7 月 4 日
$303 交易量
否
7 月 5 日
$328 交易量
否
7 月 6 日
$2,697 交易量
否
7 月 7 日
$807 交易量
否
7月8日
$1,024 交易量
否
7 月 9 日
$3,656 交易量
否
7月10日
$303 交易量
否
7月11日
$1,207 交易量
否
7 月 12 日
$1,327 交易量
否
7月13日
$1,392 交易量
否
7 月 14 日
$7,616 交易量
否
July 15
$11,602 交易量
No
7月16日
$9,277 交易量
否
7 月 17 日
$75,726 交易量
否
7月18日
$6,225 交易量
否
7 月 19 日
$4,304 交易量
否
7月20日
$5,578 交易量
否
7月21日
$10,778 交易量
否
7 月 22 日
$6,122 交易量
否
7月23日
$8,313 交易量
否
7 月 24 日
$21,852 交易量
否
July 25
$4,154 交易量
No
7月26日
$4,228 交易量
否
7 月 27 日
$3,640 交易量
否
7 月 28 日
$7,123 交易量
否
7 月 29 日
$10,441 交易量
否
7月30日
$24,885 交易量
否
7 月 31 日
$7,950 交易量
否
截至7月31日不发布
$133,852 交易量
是
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$378,664结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$378,664结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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