Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, positioning it as a cost-effective step up from Opus 4.8 with stronger coding, agentic workflows, and reasoning at the same $5/$25 per million tokens pricing. Since then, the company has shipped Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1 for advanced coding and knowledge tasks, alongside ongoing enterprise features and safety updates, reflecting a rapid development cadence in the 5-series. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release clusters around late September because the Opus line has historically seen point updates every 6–10 weeks, with recent leaks and benchmark leadership in agentic tasks sustaining expectations of continued iteration before year-end. No official timeline has been confirmed, leaving room for delays if focus shifts to Fable/Mythos refinements or regulatory scrutiny.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$108,800 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
81%
10月31日
99%
12月31日
98%
$108,800 交易量
9月30日
$48,872 交易量
81%
10月31日
$13,267 交易量
99%
12月31日
$5,146 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, positioning it as a cost-effective step up from Opus 4.8 with stronger coding, agentic workflows, and reasoning at the same $5/$25 per million tokens pricing. Since then, the company has shipped Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1 for advanced coding and knowledge tasks, alongside ongoing enterprise features and safety updates, reflecting a rapid development cadence in the 5-series. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release clusters around late September because the Opus line has historically seen point updates every 6–10 weeks, with recent leaks and benchmark leadership in agentic tasks sustaining expectations of continued iteration before year-end. No official timeline has been confirmed, leaving room for delays if focus shifts to Fable/Mythos refinements or regulatory scrutiny.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
交易量
$108,800结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, positioning it as a cost-effective step up from Opus 4.8 with stronger coding, agentic workflows, and reasoning at the same $5/$25 per million tokens pricing. Since then, the company has shipped Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1 for advanced coding and knowledge tasks, alongside ongoing enterprise features and safety updates, reflecting a rapid development cadence in the 5-series. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release clusters around late September because the Opus line has historically seen point updates every 6–10 weeks, with recent leaks and benchmark leadership in agentic tasks sustaining expectations of continued iteration before year-end. No official timeline has been confirmed, leaving room for delays if focus shifts to Fable/Mythos refinements or regulatory scrutiny.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$108,800结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAnthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, positioning it as a cost-effective step up from Opus 4.8 with stronger coding, agentic workflows, and reasoning at the same $5/$25 per million tokens pricing. Since then, the company has shipped Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1 for advanced coding and knowledge tasks, alongside ongoing enterprise features and safety updates, reflecting a rapid development cadence in the 5-series. Trader sentiment for the next Opus release clusters around late September because the Opus line has historically seen point updates every 6–10 weeks, with recent leaks and benchmark leadership in agentic tasks sustaining expectations of continued iteration before year-end. No official timeline has been confirmed, leaving room for delays if focus shifts to Fable/Mythos refinements or regulatory scrutiny.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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