Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows the National-led coalition maintaining a narrow edge in projected seats despite Labour holding a modest lead in party vote. New Zealand First has consolidated support in the 11-13% range across multiple surveys, keeping it ahead for third place, while the Greens have surged to around 12-13% in the latest Talbot Mills and other readings, closing the gap through gains among left-leaning voters. ACT remains lower at roughly 7-8%, and Labour trails further back in third-place contention. These movements reflect ongoing shifts in voter preferences five months out, with no single recent event dominating but steady coalition stability and Green momentum shaping trader views on likely finishing order.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Green Party 41%
New Zealand First Party 41%
ACT New Zealand 10.0%
Labour Party 7.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
Green Party
41%
New Zealand First Party
61%
ACT New Zealand
20%
Labour Party
15%
National Party
6%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Green Party 41%
New Zealand First Party 41%
ACT New Zealand 10.0%
Labour Party 7.9%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
Green Party
$363 交易量
41%
New Zealand First Party
$278 交易量
61%
ACT New Zealand
$367 交易量
20%
Labour Party
$432 交易量
15%
National Party
$284 交易量
6%
Te Pāti Māori
$246 交易量
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows the National-led coalition maintaining a narrow edge in projected seats despite Labour holding a modest lead in party vote. New Zealand First has consolidated support in the 11-13% range across multiple surveys, keeping it ahead for third place, while the Greens have surged to around 12-13% in the latest Talbot Mills and other readings, closing the gap through gains among left-leaning voters. ACT remains lower at roughly 7-8%, and Labour trails further back in third-place contention. These movements reflect ongoing shifts in voter preferences five months out, with no single recent event dominating but steady coalition stability and Green momentum shaping trader views on likely finishing order.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$1,970结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows the National-led coalition maintaining a narrow edge in projected seats despite Labour holding a modest lead in party vote. New Zealand First has consolidated support in the 11-13% range across multiple surveys, keeping it ahead for third place, while the Greens have surged to around 12-13% in the latest Talbot Mills and other readings, closing the gap through gains among left-leaning voters. ACT remains lower at roughly 7-8%, and Labour trails further back in third-place contention. These movements reflect ongoing shifts in voter preferences five months out, with no single recent event dominating but steady coalition stability and Green momentum shaping trader views on likely finishing order.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$1,970结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows the National-led coalition maintaining a narrow edge in projected seats despite Labour holding a modest lead in party vote. New Zealand First has consolidated support in the 11-13% range across multiple surveys, keeping it ahead for third place, while the Greens have surged to around 12-13% in the latest Talbot Mills and other readings, closing the gap through gains among left-leaning voters. ACT remains lower at roughly 7-8%, and Labour trails further back in third-place contention. These movements reflect ongoing shifts in voter preferences five months out, with no single recent event dominating but steady coalition stability and Green momentum shaping trader views on likely finishing order.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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