Lakers hold the lead in trader consensus at 58% due to full Bird rights allowing them to offer the most competitive deal, LeBron’s eight-year tenure in Los Angeles, and recent playoff contributions alongside Austin Reaves. Financial pressures from re-signing key role players and a potential one-year, $30 million structure with a no-trade clause keep the market from pricing a lock. Milwaukee and Cleveland sit near 30% on the strength of contender status and, for the Cavaliers, hometown ties plus Eastern Conference Finals momentum that could facilitate a sign-and-trade. San Antonio, Dallas, and the Clippers round out the top tier through reported cap flexibility and league-wide interest in the 41-year-old, though apron restrictions and roster construction challenges limit their implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Los Angeles Lakers 59%
Golden State Warriors 25.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 20%
Houston Rockets 8.5%
$16,003 交易量
$16,003 交易量
Los Angeles Lakers
58%
Golden State Warriors
15%
Cleveland Cavaliers
30%
Houston Rockets
9%
Boston Celtics
4%
Phoenix Suns
4%
New York Knicks
4%
Philadelphia 76ers
4%
Los Angeles Clippers
20%
San Antonio Spurs
1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Miami Heat
14%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
5%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
18%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
-
Los Angeles Lakers 59%
Golden State Warriors 25.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 20%
Houston Rockets 8.5%
$16,003 交易量
$16,003 交易量
Los Angeles Lakers
58%
Golden State Warriors
15%
Cleveland Cavaliers
30%
Houston Rockets
9%
Boston Celtics
4%
Phoenix Suns
4%
New York Knicks
4%
Philadelphia 76ers
4%
Los Angeles Clippers
20%
San Antonio Spurs
1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Miami Heat
14%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
5%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
18%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
-
If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lakers hold the lead in trader consensus at 58% due to full Bird rights allowing them to offer the most competitive deal, LeBron’s eight-year tenure in Los Angeles, and recent playoff contributions alongside Austin Reaves. Financial pressures from re-signing key role players and a potential one-year, $30 million structure with a no-trade clause keep the market from pricing a lock. Milwaukee and Cleveland sit near 30% on the strength of contender status and, for the Cavaliers, hometown ties plus Eastern Conference Finals momentum that could facilitate a sign-and-trade. San Antonio, Dallas, and the Clippers round out the top tier through reported cap flexibility and league-wide interest in the 41-year-old, though apron restrictions and roster construction challenges limit their implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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