Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于“Moana (2026)”第二周末票房
“Moana (2026)”第二周末票房
1750万-1900万 99.9%
低于1600万 <1%
1600万-1750万 <1%
1900万-2050万 <1%
$35,356 交易量
$35,356 交易量
2026-07-19
低于1600万
否
1600万-1750万
否
1750万-1900万
是
1900万-2050万
否
2050万-2200万
否
2200万+
否
1750万-1900万 99.9%
低于1600万 <1%
1600万-1750万 <1%
1900万-2050万 <1%
$35,356 交易量
$35,356 交易量
2026-07-19
低于1600万
$5,429 交易量
否
1600万-1750万
$8,349 交易量
否
1750万-1900万
$9,484 交易量
是
1900万-2050万
$10,549 交易量
否
2050万-2200万
$1,057 交易量
否
2200万+
$488 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
交易量
$35,356结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$35,356结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题