Lisa Demuth secured the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Mike Lindell by roughly 11 points and Kendall Qualls by a wider margin in the open primary. Her position as House speaker and record of legislative compromise on budget issues helped consolidate support among voters seeking a nominee viewed as electable against Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar in the general election. Lindell’s Trump endorsement and outsider appeal were offset by party concerns over his viability and questions about residency and past election-related statements. With results now certified in line with early reporting, the market consensus reflects this outcome. Late certification disputes or successful legal challenges to vote counts remain the only narrow pathways that could alter the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Demuth 10%+ 100.0%
Lindell 20–25% <1%
林德尔+25% <1%
Lindell 15–20% <1%
$985 交易量
$985 交易量
2026-08-11
林德尔+25%
否
Lindell 20–25%
No
Lindell 15–20%
No
Lindell 10–15%
No
Lindell 5–10%
No
Lindell <5%
No
Demuth <5%
No
Demuth 5–10%
No
Demuth 10%+
Yes
Demuth 10%+ 100.0%
Lindell 20–25% <1%
林德尔+25% <1%
Lindell 15–20% <1%
$985 交易量
$985 交易量
2026-08-11
林德尔+25%
$84 交易量
否
Lindell 20–25%
$64 交易量
No
Lindell 15–20%
$64 交易量
No
Lindell 10–15%
$172 交易量
No
Lindell 5–10%
$44 交易量
No
Lindell <5%
$244 交易量
No
Demuth <5%
$244 交易量
No
Demuth 5–10%
$15 交易量
No
Demuth 10%+
$54 交易量
Yes
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lisa Demuth secured the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Mike Lindell by roughly 11 points and Kendall Qualls by a wider margin in the open primary. Her position as House speaker and record of legislative compromise on budget issues helped consolidate support among voters seeking a nominee viewed as electable against Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar in the general election. Lindell’s Trump endorsement and outsider appeal were offset by party concerns over his viability and questions about residency and past election-related statements. With results now certified in line with early reporting, the market consensus reflects this outcome. Late certification disputes or successful legal challenges to vote counts remain the only narrow pathways that could alter the final margin.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
交易量
$985结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lisa Demuth secured the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Mike Lindell by roughly 11 points and Kendall Qualls by a wider margin in the open primary. Her position as House speaker and record of legislative compromise on budget issues helped consolidate support among voters seeking a nominee viewed as electable against Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar in the general election. Lindell’s Trump endorsement and outsider appeal were offset by party concerns over his viability and questions about residency and past election-related statements. With results now certified in line with early reporting, the market consensus reflects this outcome. Late certification disputes or successful legal challenges to vote counts remain the only narrow pathways that could alter the final margin.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$985结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Lisa Demuth secured the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Mike Lindell by roughly 11 points and Kendall Qualls by a wider margin in the open primary. Her position as House speaker and record of legislative compromise on budget issues helped consolidate support among voters seeking a nominee viewed as electable against Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar in the general election. Lindell’s Trump endorsement and outsider appeal were offset by party concerns over his viability and questions about residency and past election-related statements. With results now certified in line with early reporting, the market consensus reflects this outcome. Late certification disputes or successful legal challenges to vote counts remain the only narrow pathways that could alter the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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