Skip to main content
icon for Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

icon for Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

$19,768 交易量

2023-10-30
Polymarket

$19,768 交易量

Polymarket
icon for <15

<15

$1,940 交易量

Yes

icon for 15-50

15-50

$2,271 交易量

No

icon for 51-100

51-100

$6,872 交易量

No

icon for >100

>100

$8,685 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 15 and 50 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 51 and 100 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of greater than 100 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No".

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,768
结束日期
2023-10-31
市场开放时间
Oct 2, 2023, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 15 and 50 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 51 and 100 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of greater than 100 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No".

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,768
结束日期
2023-10-31
市场开放时间
Oct 2, 2023, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"<15",概率为 100%,其次是"15-50",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?"已产生 $19.8K 的总交易量(自Oct 3, 2023市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?"的当前领先者是"<15",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"15-50",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。