Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日巴黎最低气温？
8月16日巴黎最低气温？
20°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,888 交易量
$19,888 交易量
2026-08-16
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,888 交易量
$19,888 交易量
2026-08-16
18°C或以下
$3,243 交易量
否
19°C
$3,309 交易量
否
20°C
$2,270 交易量
是
21°C
$1,229 交易量
否
22°C
$1,612 交易量
否
23°C
$2,987 交易量
否
24°C
$3,902 交易量
否
25°C
$233 交易量
否
26°C
$233 交易量
否
27°C
$638 交易量
否
28°C或更高
$233 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$19,888结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,888结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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