Official observations from the UK Met Office recorded a minimum temperature of 10°C in London on June 10, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus at that level. Typical early June overnight lows average 10–12°C under moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling, while recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little potential for sub-10°C readings amid stable high pressure. A small probability for 8°C reflects residual uncertainty in station-specific microclimates or post-processing adjustments, though verified data leave scant room for revision. Updated hourly readings or final quality-controlled archives released in coming days could theoretically shift the exact figure if anomalies surface, but current consensus across monitoring networks strongly supports the observed value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月10日伦敦最低气温?
10°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$38,631 交易量
$38,631 交易量
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
10°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$38,631 交易量
$38,631 交易量
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the UK Met Office recorded a minimum temperature of 10°C in London on June 10, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus at that level. Typical early June overnight lows average 10–12°C under moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling, while recent model guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little potential for sub-10°C readings amid stable high pressure. A small probability for 8°C reflects residual uncertainty in station-specific microclimates or post-processing adjustments, though verified data leave scant room for revision. Updated hourly readings or final quality-controlled archives released in coming days could theoretically shift the exact figure if anomalies surface, but current consensus across monitoring networks strongly supports the observed value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题