President Trump's August 2026 formal notice to Lisa Cook, providing due process ahead of a potential "for cause" removal over pre-Fed mortgage allegations, remains the central driver of market-implied odds on her departure. The June 2026 Supreme Court 5-4 ruling blocked immediate ouster and returned the case to lower courts, affirming statutory protections for Federal Reserve Board members while leaving factual disputes open. Cook's counsel denied any fraud in her August response, describing an inadvertent oversight with no preferential loan terms received. Cook continues serving and delivering public remarks on resilient growth and elevated inflation risks through at least August 2026. Traders price in low near-term probability of resolution given judicial timelines, upcoming FOMC meetings, and the high bar for removal under the Federal Reserve Act.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,011 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
1%
10月31日
2%
11月30日
7%
12月31日
7%
$17,011 交易量
9月30日
$7,835 交易量
1%
10月31日
$6,227 交易量
2%
11月30日
$1,136 交易量
7%
12月31日
$1,813 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's August 2026 formal notice to Lisa Cook, providing due process ahead of a potential "for cause" removal over pre-Fed mortgage allegations, remains the central driver of market-implied odds on her departure. The June 2026 Supreme Court 5-4 ruling blocked immediate ouster and returned the case to lower courts, affirming statutory protections for Federal Reserve Board members while leaving factual disputes open. Cook's counsel denied any fraud in her August response, describing an inadvertent oversight with no preferential loan terms received. Cook continues serving and delivering public remarks on resilient growth and elevated inflation risks through at least August 2026. Traders price in low near-term probability of resolution given judicial timelines, upcoming FOMC meetings, and the high bar for removal under the Federal Reserve Act.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$17,011结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's August 2026 formal notice to Lisa Cook, providing due process ahead of a potential "for cause" removal over pre-Fed mortgage allegations, remains the central driver of market-implied odds on her departure. The June 2026 Supreme Court 5-4 ruling blocked immediate ouster and returned the case to lower courts, affirming statutory protections for Federal Reserve Board members while leaving factual disputes open. Cook's counsel denied any fraud in her August response, describing an inadvertent oversight with no preferential loan terms received. Cook continues serving and delivering public remarks on resilient growth and elevated inflation risks through at least August 2026. Traders price in low near-term probability of resolution given judicial timelines, upcoming FOMC meetings, and the high bar for removal under the Federal Reserve Act.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$17,011结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETPresident Trump's August 2026 formal notice to Lisa Cook, providing due process ahead of a potential "for cause" removal over pre-Fed mortgage allegations, remains the central driver of market-implied odds on her departure. The June 2026 Supreme Court 5-4 ruling blocked immediate ouster and returned the case to lower courts, affirming statutory protections for Federal Reserve Board members while leaving factual disputes open. Cook's counsel denied any fraud in her August response, describing an inadvertent oversight with no preferential loan terms received. Cook continues serving and delivering public remarks on resilient growth and elevated inflation risks through at least August 2026. Traders price in low near-term probability of resolution given judicial timelines, upcoming FOMC meetings, and the high bar for removal under the Federal Reserve Act.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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