**Traders heavily favor fewer than five posts by the current Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei, via accounts such as @MKhamenei_ir) in the June 19–26 window, pricing that outcome at 82.5%.** This reflects his established pattern of low-volume, burst-style activity on X, with spikes occurring mainly during acute geopolitical crises rather than routine periods. Recent months show continued reliance on written statements and office-issued messaging amid persistent questions over public visibility, with officials describing him as fully engaged yet providing no live video or audio appearances. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers have emerged in the past 30 days that historically correlate with higher posting frequency. Comparable weekly markets earlier in June resolved toward the sub-five bracket under similar quiet conditions. Higher buckets remain thinly priced because sustained output would require an unforeseen escalation or policy announcement within the narrow resolution window. Resolution depends on verifiable posts from the official account(s) during the exact seven-day period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?
<5 100.0%
15-19 <1%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
$20,625 交易量
$20,625 交易量
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
15-19 <1%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
$20,625 交易量
$20,625 交易量
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
**Traders heavily favor fewer than five posts by the current Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei, via accounts such as @MKhamenei_ir) in the June 19–26 window, pricing that outcome at 82.5%.** This reflects his established pattern of low-volume, burst-style activity on X, with spikes occurring mainly during acute geopolitical crises rather than routine periods. Recent months show continued reliance on written statements and office-issued messaging amid persistent questions over public visibility, with officials describing him as fully engaged yet providing no live video or audio appearances. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers have emerged in the past 30 days that historically correlate with higher posting frequency. Comparable weekly markets earlier in June resolved toward the sub-five bracket under similar quiet conditions. Higher buckets remain thinly priced because sustained output would require an unforeseen escalation or policy announcement within the narrow resolution window. Resolution depends on verifiable posts from the official account(s) during the exact seven-day period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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