**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.** This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing. A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts 2026年8月11日至8月18日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年8月11日至8月18日？
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$17,735 交易量
$17,735 交易量
2026-08-18
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$17,735 交易量
$17,735 交易量
2026-08-18
<5
$5,739 交易量
Yes
5-9
$3,145 交易量
No
10-14
$1,486 交易量
No
15-19
$1,038 交易量
No
20-24
$991 交易量
No
25-29
$1,470 交易量
No
30-34
$1,383 交易量
No
35-39
$440 交易量
No
40-44
$321 交易量
No
45-49
$358 交易量
No
50-54
$406 交易量
No
55-59
$406 交易量
No
60+
$551 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.**
This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing.
A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$17,735结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.**
This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing.
A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$17,735结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.** This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing. A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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