Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 10-14 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during April 17-24, 2026, reflecting the verified count of original posts released over the just-concluded week, consistent with the account's steady archival pace of past statements following his February 2026 martyrdom in reported US-Israeli strikes. This pattern—averaging roughly two posts daily on commemorative occasions like the April 18 anniversary of Iran's Army creation—has held without deviation, driving the 100% implied probability as the resolution window closed on April 24, 12:00 PM ET. Challenges could arise from disputes over post classification (e.g., excluding replies or media shares) or late discoveries of additional content, though official tallies and platform records make shifts unlikely absent extraordinary institutional announcements from Iranian leadership.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts 2026年4月17日至4月24日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年4月17日至4月24日？
10-14 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
15-19 <1%
$16,984 交易量
$16,984 交易量
2026-04-24
<5
否
5-9
否
10-14
是
15-19
否
20-24
否
25-29
否
30-34
否
35-39
否
40-44
否
45-49
否
50-54
否
55-59
否
60+
否
10-14 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
15-19 <1%
$16,984 交易量
$16,984 交易量
2026-04-24
<5
$2,012 交易量
否
5-9
$564 交易量
否
10-14
$1,880 交易量
是
15-19
$3,491 交易量
否
20-24
$1,328 交易量
否
25-29
$798 交易量
否
30-34
$889 交易量
否
35-39
$808 交易量
否
40-44
$1,984 交易量
否
45-49
$1,379 交易量
否
50-54
$629 交易量
否
55-59
$726 交易量
否
60+
$496 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 10-14 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during April 17-24, 2026, reflecting the verified count of original posts released over the just-concluded week, consistent with the account's steady archival pace of past statements following his February 2026 martyrdom in reported US-Israeli strikes. This pattern—averaging roughly two posts daily on commemorative occasions like the April 18 anniversary of Iran's Army creation—has held without deviation, driving the 100% implied probability as the resolution window closed on April 24, 12:00 PM ET. Challenges could arise from disputes over post classification (e.g., excluding replies or media shares) or late discoveries of additional content, though official tallies and platform records make shifts unlikely absent extraordinary institutional announcements from Iranian leadership.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$16,984结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 10-14 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during April 17-24, 2026, reflecting the verified count of original posts released over the just-concluded week, consistent with the account's steady archival pace of past statements following his February 2026 martyrdom in reported US-Israeli strikes. This pattern—averaging roughly two posts daily on commemorative occasions like the April 18 anniversary of Iran's Army creation—has held without deviation, driving the 100% implied probability as the resolution window closed on April 24, 12:00 PM ET. Challenges could arise from disputes over post classification (e.g., excluding replies or media shares) or late discoveries of additional content, though official tallies and platform records make shifts unlikely absent extraordinary institutional announcements from Iranian leadership.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$16,984结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 10-14 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during April 17-24, 2026, reflecting the verified count of original posts released over the just-concluded week, consistent with the account's steady archival pace of past statements following his February 2026 martyrdom in reported US-Israeli strikes. This pattern—averaging roughly two posts daily on commemorative occasions like the April 18 anniversary of Iran's Army creation—has held without deviation, driving the 100% implied probability as the resolution window closed on April 24, 12:00 PM ET. Challenges could arise from disputes over post classification (e.g., excluding replies or media shares) or late discoveries of additional content, though official tallies and platform records make shifts unlikely absent extraordinary institutional announcements from Iranian leadership.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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