Democratic Senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face different electoral timelines, with Ossoff seeking a second term in Georgia’s 2026 contest while Warnock’s term extends to 2028. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead of Republican nominee Mike Collins by roughly nine points, supported by consistent leads in surveys from Fox News, AARP, and others through mid-2026. Ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report have shifted toward a lean Democratic outlook, reflecting Ossoff’s incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and voter positioning in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the prior presidential cycle. No retirement announcements or procedural developments have emerged for either senator. This positioning underpins trader consensus that both will remain in office after November 2026. Late shifts could still arise from major national events, health developments, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Democratic Senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face different electoral timelines, with Ossoff seeking a second term in Georgia’s 2026 contest while Warnock’s term extends to 2028. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead of Republican nominee Mike Collins by roughly nine points, supported by consistent leads in surveys from Fox News, AARP, and others through mid-2026. Ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report have shifted toward a lean Democratic outlook, reflecting Ossoff’s incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and voter positioning in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the prior presidential cycle. No retirement announcements or procedural developments have emerged for either senator. This positioning underpins trader consensus that both will remain in office after November 2026. Late shifts could still arise from major national events, health developments, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals within the resolution window.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
交易量
$1,074结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Democratic Senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face different electoral timelines, with Ossoff seeking a second term in Georgia’s 2026 contest while Warnock’s term extends to 2028. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead of Republican nominee Mike Collins by roughly nine points, supported by consistent leads in surveys from Fox News, AARP, and others through mid-2026. Ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report have shifted toward a lean Democratic outlook, reflecting Ossoff’s incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and voter positioning in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the prior presidential cycle. No retirement announcements or procedural developments have emerged for either senator. This positioning underpins trader consensus that both will remain in office after November 2026. Late shifts could still arise from major national events, health developments, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals within the resolution window.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
交易量
$1,074结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic Senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face different electoral timelines, with Ossoff seeking a second term in Georgia’s 2026 contest while Warnock’s term extends to 2028. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead of Republican nominee Mike Collins by roughly nine points, supported by consistent leads in surveys from Fox News, AARP, and others through mid-2026. Ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report have shifted toward a lean Democratic outlook, reflecting Ossoff’s incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and voter positioning in a state that narrowly favored Republicans in the prior presidential cycle. No retirement announcements or procedural developments have emerged for either senator. This positioning underpins trader consensus that both will remain in office after November 2026. Late shifts could still arise from major national events, health developments, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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