Recent polling averages project United Torah Judaism at 7–8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, consistent with its historical performance among Ashkenazi Haredi voters. The party’s core focus on securing military-service exemptions for yeshiva students and preserving Torah-study autonomy continues to anchor its support, even as internal leadership changes—including the removal of longtime MK Moshe Gafni—reflect tensions over the stalled draft-exemption bill. Broader coalition dynamics and Netanyahu-bloc shortfalls have not shifted UTJ’s projected totals, which remain stable across multiple survey outlets. Traders appear to view these structural factors and the absence of major recent volatility as favoring the 7–8 seat range over lower or higher outcomes.