Recent polling averages place United Torah Judaism (Yahadut HaTorah) near 7–8 Knesset seats, equating to roughly 6% of the national vote share ahead of the October 27 election. Trader consensus remains split across the sub-5% to 6–7% ranges because Haredi turnout, internal factional tensions within Agudat Israel and Degel HaTorah, and competition from emerging ultra-Orthodox lists introduce variability. Broader coalition bloc dynamics and ongoing debates over draft exemptions further influence Haredi voter mobilization without producing a decisive shift in recent surveys. Late-campaign developments in religious-sector turnout or surplus agreements could still alter the final distribution.