Recent Israeli election polls place Ra'am (United Arab List) support at approximately 5 seats, consistent with a 4–5% national vote share in the October 27 contest. This reflects the party’s independent run under Mansour Abbas, separate from the Joint List, and stable backing among Arab voters amid a fragmented Knesset race where neither major bloc reaches a majority. The Central Elections Committee’s late-September disqualification attempt created brief uncertainty but is widely expected to be overturned by the Supreme Court before final list approval. With the 3.25% threshold in view and no major late shifts reported in the past week, current polling averages align most closely with the 4–4.75% range as the leading outcome among traders.