Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7–8 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 6–7% of the national vote ahead of the 27 October election. The Supreme Court’s 2 October ruling overturned the Central Elections Committee’s disqualification attempt, restoring ballot access and stabilizing the list’s position after Ra’am chose to run separately. Arab voter turnout patterns, surplus-vote agreements with Ra’am, and competition for the same electorate keep the projected share narrowly contested between the 5.5–6.5% and 6.5–7.5% brackets. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the limited time remaining for late shifts in mobilization or bloc dynamics to alter the outcome.