Recent Israeli election polls place Shas at roughly seven to eight Knesset seats on average, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the 6-7 and 8-9 seat ranges. The party’s support has remained stable in the final weeks before the October 27 vote, with limited movement amid a broader deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs. A surplus-vote agreement signed with United Torah Judaism on October 11 could add one seat depending on final tallies, while haredi turnout, undecided voters, and the performance of allied or competing lists will determine whether Shas finishes closer to seven or nine seats. Late campaign developments on conscription legislation or coalition positioning may further influence final results.