Recent opinion polls conducted in early June 2026 place Likud at 23-25 Knesset seats on average, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 25-29 range at 37% while the adjacent 30-34 band holds 27.5%. This narrow positioning reflects Likud remaining the single largest party under Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the October 27 election, yet facing close competition from the Bennett-Lapid “Together” slate and persistent shortfalls for the broader right-wing bloc in reaching a 61-seat majority. Key variables include ongoing coalition pressures within the Netanyahu government, voter shifts among religious and centrist blocs, and any late developments in security policy or economic conditions that could alter turnout or alliances before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于25-29 43%
30-34 31%
20-24 19%
<20 12.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
<20
12%
20-24
14%
25-29
43%
30-34
24%
35+
11%
25-29 43%
30-34 31%
20-24 19%
<20 12.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
<20
$3,704 交易量
12%
20-24
$336 交易量
14%
25-29
$323 交易量
43%
30-34
$512 交易量
24%
35+
$331 交易量
11%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls conducted in early June 2026 place Likud at 23-25 Knesset seats on average, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 25-29 range at 37% while the adjacent 30-34 band holds 27.5%. This narrow positioning reflects Likud remaining the single largest party under Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the October 27 election, yet facing close competition from the Bennett-Lapid “Together” slate and persistent shortfalls for the broader right-wing bloc in reaching a 61-seat majority. Key variables include ongoing coalition pressures within the Netanyahu government, voter shifts among religious and centrist blocs, and any late developments in security policy or economic conditions that could alter turnout or alliances before voting.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$5,206结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls conducted in early June 2026 place Likud at 23-25 Knesset seats on average, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 25-29 range at 37% while the adjacent 30-34 band holds 27.5%. This narrow positioning reflects Likud remaining the single largest party under Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the October 27 election, yet facing close competition from the Bennett-Lapid “Together” slate and persistent shortfalls for the broader right-wing bloc in reaching a 61-seat majority. Key variables include ongoing coalition pressures within the Netanyahu government, voter shifts among religious and centrist blocs, and any late developments in security policy or economic conditions that could alter turnout or alliances before voting.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$5,206结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls conducted in early June 2026 place Likud at 23-25 Knesset seats on average, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 25-29 range at 37% while the adjacent 30-34 band holds 27.5%. This narrow positioning reflects Likud remaining the single largest party under Benjamin Netanyahu ahead of the October 27 election, yet facing close competition from the Bennett-Lapid “Together” slate and persistent shortfalls for the broader right-wing bloc in reaching a 61-seat majority. Key variables include ongoing coalition pressures within the Netanyahu government, voter shifts among religious and centrist blocs, and any late developments in security policy or economic conditions that could alter turnout or alliances before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题