Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 election has placed Blue and White support near or below the 3.25% threshold, with multiple surveys showing roughly 0.5-1.3% and the party frequently failing to qualify for seats. This positioning has kept trader consensus split between the sub-0.75% and 0.75-1.25% bins. Benny Gantz's repeated statements that he will run to the end, combined with opposition fragmentation and competition from other centrist lists, introduce modest uncertainty about possible late shifts in turnout or alliances that could lift the party's final share just above or confirm it well below 1%.