The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于54.0–54.9 100.0%
低于51.0 <1%
51.0–51.9 <1%
52.0–52.9 <1%
$46,913 交易量
$46,913 交易量
2026-09-01
低于51.0
否
51.0–51.9
否
52.0–52.9
否
53.0–53.9
否
54.0–54.9
是
55.0–55.9
否
56.0–56.9
否
57.0–57.9
否
58.0–58.9
否
59.0及以上
否
54.0–54.9 100.0%
低于51.0 <1%
51.0–51.9 <1%
52.0–52.9 <1%
$46,913 交易量
$46,913 交易量
2026-09-01
低于51.0
$1,304 交易量
否
51.0–51.9
$1,179 交易量
否
52.0–52.9
$1,600 交易量
否
53.0–53.9
$1,447 交易量
否
54.0–54.9
$9,755 交易量
是
55.0–55.9
$25,131 交易量
否
56.0–56.9
$2,169 交易量
否
57.0–57.9
$1,314 交易量
否
58.0–58.9
$2,022 交易量
否
59.0及以上
$993 交易量
否
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$46,913结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$46,913结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题