Cerebras Systems' amended S-1 filing on May 4, targeting a $3.5 billion IPO at up to $26.6 billion valuation amid surging demand for its massive AI chips—bolstered by ties to OpenAI—has propelled trader consensus to near-certainty (99.6¢ Yes) for a pre-2027 listing, potentially mid-May. SpaceX follows closely at 94% implied probability, fueled by its confidential filing and planned early June roadshow eyeing $1.75 trillion amid Starship and Starlink capex ramps, per recent WSJ reporting. Discord's odds have softened to 58¢ amid delays since its January confidential filing, while Anthropic holds at 55¢ on competitive AI positioning. Watch Cerebras pricing next week and broader 2026 IPO pipeline, with Goldman forecasting $160 billion in U.S. tech debuts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$6,148,777 交易量
2026-12-31
Cerebras
100%
SpaceX
94%
Anthropic
61%
Discord
54%
远程
32%
OpenAI
30%
Deel
20%
Ledger
20%
WHOOP
20%
SHEIN
17%
Databricks
16%
Mistral AI
16%
Applied Intuition
15%
Rippling
14%
字节跳动
14%
Glean
12%
Freddie Mac
12%
Celonis
12%
房利美
12%
Anduril Industries
12%
Ramp
11%
Epic Games
11%
Anduril
11%
瑞波实验室
10%
Vanta
9%
Revolut
8%
Stripe
7%
Anysphere（Cursor）
7%
Canva
6%
Waymo
3%
Brex
1%
$6,148,777 交易量
Cerebras
$407,622 交易量
100%
SpaceX
$558,881 交易量
94%
Anthropic
$218,195 交易量
61%
Discord
$444,151 交易量
54%
远程
$54,380 交易量
32%
OpenAI
$230,329 交易量
30%
Deel
$121,608 交易量
20%
Ledger
$508,163 交易量
20%
WHOOP
$173 交易量
20%
SHEIN
$78,403 交易量
17%
Databricks
$467,483 交易量
16%
Mistral AI
$148,356 交易量
16%
Applied Intuition
$191,697 交易量
15%
Rippling
$117,183 交易量
14%
字节跳动
$9,195 交易量
14%
Glean
$44,599 交易量
12%
Freddie Mac
$244,317 交易量
12%
Celonis
$207,772 交易量
12%
房利美
$161,134 交易量
12%
Anduril Industries
$30,014 交易量
12%
Ramp
$143,900 交易量
11%
Epic Games
$70,995 交易量
11%
Anduril
$350,109 交易量
11%
瑞波实验室
$145,535 交易量
10%
Vanta
$130,366 交易量
9%
Revolut
$56,567 交易量
8%
Stripe
$249,637 交易量
7%
Anysphere（Cursor）
$97,053 交易量
7%
Canva
$35,426 交易量
6%
Waymo
$51,453 交易量
3%
Brex
$213,418 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras Systems' amended S-1 filing on May 4, targeting a $3.5 billion IPO at up to $26.6 billion valuation amid surging demand for its massive AI chips—bolstered by ties to OpenAI—has propelled trader consensus to near-certainty (99.6¢ Yes) for a pre-2027 listing, potentially mid-May. SpaceX follows closely at 94% implied probability, fueled by its confidential filing and planned early June roadshow eyeing $1.75 trillion amid Starship and Starlink capex ramps, per recent WSJ reporting. Discord's odds have softened to 58¢ amid delays since its January confidential filing, while Anthropic holds at 55¢ on competitive AI positioning. Watch Cerebras pricing next week and broader 2026 IPO pipeline, with Goldman forecasting $160 billion in U.S. tech debuts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$6,148,777结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras Systems' amended S-1 filing on May 4, targeting a $3.5 billion IPO at up to $26.6 billion valuation amid surging demand for its massive AI chips—bolstered by ties to OpenAI—has propelled trader consensus to near-certainty (99.6¢ Yes) for a pre-2027 listing, potentially mid-May. SpaceX follows closely at 94% implied probability, fueled by its confidential filing and planned early June roadshow eyeing $1.75 trillion amid Starship and Starlink capex ramps, per recent WSJ reporting. Discord's odds have softened to 58¢ amid delays since its January confidential filing, while Anthropic holds at 55¢ on competitive AI positioning. Watch Cerebras pricing next week and broader 2026 IPO pipeline, with Goldman forecasting $160 billion in U.S. tech debuts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,148,777结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cerebras Systems' amended S-1 filing on May 4, targeting a $3.5 billion IPO at up to $26.6 billion valuation amid surging demand for its massive AI chips—bolstered by ties to OpenAI—has propelled trader consensus to near-certainty (99.6¢ Yes) for a pre-2027 listing, potentially mid-May. SpaceX follows closely at 94% implied probability, fueled by its confidential filing and planned early June roadshow eyeing $1.75 trillion amid Starship and Starlink capex ramps, per recent WSJ reporting. Discord's odds have softened to 58¢ amid delays since its January confidential filing, while Anthropic holds at 55¢ on competitive AI positioning. Watch Cerebras pricing next week and broader 2026 IPO pipeline, with Goldman forecasting $160 billion in U.S. tech debuts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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