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icon for Ilya's next company?

Ilya's next company?

icon for Ilya's next company?

Ilya's next company?

Google/Deepmind 100.0%

Anthropic 100.0%

Apple 100.0%

X 100.0%

Polymarket

$83,262 交易量

Google/Deepmind 100.0%

Anthropic 100.0%

Apple 100.0%

X 100.0%

Polymarket

$83,262 交易量

icon for Google/Deepmind

Google/Deepmind

$13,891 交易量

No

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$16,962 交易量

No

icon for Apple

Apple

$7,487 交易量

No

icon for X

X

$15,799 交易量

No

icon for New organization

New organization

$7,754 交易量

No

icon for Other existing organization

Other existing organization

$9,746 交易量

No

icon for No announcement in May

No announcement in May

$11,624 交易量

Yes

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Anthropic by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining xAI/X by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining or founding a newly created company/organization by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining another existing company/organization other than Anthropic, Google, X, and Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever doesn't announce his future plans by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, or his endeavors do not include joining any company/organization (e.g. If he announces he will be building a cabin in the woods). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.
交易量
$83,262
结束日期
2024-05-31
市场开放时间
May 14, 2024, 7:29 PM ET
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Anthropic by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining xAI/X by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining or founding a newly created company/organization by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining another existing company/organization other than Anthropic, Google, X, and Apple by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever doesn't announce his future plans by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, or his endeavors do not include joining any company/organization (e.g. If he announces he will be building a cabin in the woods). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor.

The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.
交易量
$83,262
结束日期
2024-05-31
市场开放时间
May 14, 2024, 7:29 PM ET
On May 14, Ilya Sutskever announced he was leaving OpenAI, and he would share his next endeavor in due time (see https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilya Sutskever announces he is joining Google by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that if Ilya joins a subsidiary of the above company, this market will resolve to "Yes." This market may immediately resolve once Ilya Sutskever announces his new endeavor. The primary resolution source will be statements from Ilya.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Ilya's next company?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"No announcement in May",概率为 100%,其次是"Google/Deepmind",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Ilya's next company?"已产生 $83.3K 的总交易量(自May 14, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Ilya's next company?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Ilya's next company?"的当前领先者是"No announcement in May",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Google/Deepmind",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Ilya's next company?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。