The August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于15万+ 100.0%
<-5万 <1%
-5万 – 0 <1%
0 – 5万 <1%
$75,604 交易量
$75,604 交易量
2026-09-04
<-5万
否
-5万 – 0
否
0 – 5万
否
5万 – 10万
否
10万 – 15万
否
15万+
是
15万+ 100.0%
<-5万 <1%
-5万 – 0 <1%
0 – 5万 <1%
$75,604 交易量
$75,604 交易量
2026-09-04
<-5万
$9,871 交易量
否
-5万 – 0
$12,299 交易量
否
0 – 5万
$30,532 交易量
否
5万 – 10万
$10,494 交易量
否
10万 – 15万
$5,993 交易量
否
15万+
$6,415 交易量
是
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
交易量
$75,604结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
交易量
$75,604结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The August 2026 employment report, released September 4, drove the market's overwhelming 150k+ consensus as total nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000—well above the 53k–65k economist consensus—marking the strongest gain in five months after a revised July decline. Gains concentrated in leisure and hospitality (59,000 in food services and drinking places) and local government education (42,000), with manufacturing adding 16,000, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth remained moderate at 3.1% year-over-year. This outcome aligns with a stable labor market narrative amid mixed prior data, though downward revisions to the headline or components could theoretically shift resolution if material enough to breach the 150k threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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