Pennsylvania's 17 U.S. House districts feature a post-2024 Republican 10-7 edge, with Democrats positioned to contest four narrow GOP-held seats in the Philadelphia suburbs and northeast Pennsylvania. Trader emphasis on 8-10 Democratic seats reflects expectations of modest net gains of one or two districts, driven by strong Democratic performance in the gubernatorial race where Josh Shapiro maintains double-digit leads. Recent polling and fundraising data show competitive matchups in PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10, where narrow 2024 margins and Democratic challengers have drawn national attention and endorsements. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of major late-cycle shifts support the current distribution, with outcomes hinging on turnout in battleground suburbs and any movement in the national environment ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9 40%
11 26%
10 17%
8 8%
$13,079 交易量
$13,079 交易量
2026-11-02
少于7个
<1%
7
5%
8
8%
9
40%
10
17%
11
26%
12+
3%
9 40%
11 26%
10 17%
8 8%
$13,079 交易量
$13,079 交易量
2026-11-02
少于7个
$515 交易量
<1%
7
$2,800 交易量
5%
8
$1,105 交易量
8%
9
$2,701 交易量
40%
10
$1,667 交易量
17%
11
$3,635 交易量
26%
12+
$656 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pennsylvania's 17 U.S. House districts feature a post-2024 Republican 10-7 edge, with Democrats positioned to contest four narrow GOP-held seats in the Philadelphia suburbs and northeast Pennsylvania. Trader emphasis on 8-10 Democratic seats reflects expectations of modest net gains of one or two districts, driven by strong Democratic performance in the gubernatorial race where Josh Shapiro maintains double-digit leads. Recent polling and fundraising data show competitive matchups in PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10, where narrow 2024 margins and Democratic challengers have drawn national attention and endorsements. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of major late-cycle shifts support the current distribution, with outcomes hinging on turnout in battleground suburbs and any movement in the national environment ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
交易量
$13,079结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pennsylvania's 17 U.S. House districts feature a post-2024 Republican 10-7 edge, with Democrats positioned to contest four narrow GOP-held seats in the Philadelphia suburbs and northeast Pennsylvania. Trader emphasis on 8-10 Democratic seats reflects expectations of modest net gains of one or two districts, driven by strong Democratic performance in the gubernatorial race where Josh Shapiro maintains double-digit leads. Recent polling and fundraising data show competitive matchups in PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10, where narrow 2024 margins and Democratic challengers have drawn national attention and endorsements. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of major late-cycle shifts support the current distribution, with outcomes hinging on turnout in battleground suburbs and any movement in the national environment ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,079结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETPennsylvania's 17 U.S. House districts feature a post-2024 Republican 10-7 edge, with Democrats positioned to contest four narrow GOP-held seats in the Philadelphia suburbs and northeast Pennsylvania. Trader emphasis on 8-10 Democratic seats reflects expectations of modest net gains of one or two districts, driven by strong Democratic performance in the gubernatorial race where Josh Shapiro maintains double-digit leads. Recent polling and fundraising data show competitive matchups in PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10, where narrow 2024 margins and Democratic challengers have drawn national attention and endorsements. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of major late-cycle shifts support the current distribution, with outcomes hinging on turnout in battleground suburbs and any movement in the national environment ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题