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How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

6月 17

6月 17

0 79%

1 12%

2 8%

3 1.3%

Polymarket

$30,017 交易量

0 79%

1 12%

2 8%

3 1.3%

Polymarket

$30,017 交易量

0

$15,965 交易量

79%

1

$1,033 交易量

12%

2

$549 交易量

8%

3

$1,993 交易量

1%

4+

$10,477 交易量

1%

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The June 16-17 FOMC meeting carries a 72.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents, reflecting trader consensus that recent communications and data have narrowed policy divisions after the April meeting produced four. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, driven by energy prices and tariffs, alongside a stable labor market with low average job gains and an unemployment rate near 4.3%, supports expectations for a steady funds rate at current levels without an easing bias in the statement. This setup aligns with the median SEP projection of limited further easing in 2026 and reduces the scope for the splits seen when regional presidents objected to forward guidance. Upcoming June data releases on CPI and employment will be the final inputs before the decision, though the absence of major surprises in the prior month has reinforced the baseline for broad agreement.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$30,017
结束日期
2026-06-17
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The June 16-17 FOMC meeting carries a 72.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents, reflecting trader consensus that recent communications and data have narrowed policy divisions after the April meeting produced four. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, driven by energy prices and tariffs, alongside a stable labor market with low average job gains and an unemployment rate near 4.3%, supports expectations for a steady funds rate at current levels without an easing bias in the statement. This setup aligns with the median SEP projection of limited further easing in 2026 and reduces the scope for the splits seen when regional presidents objected to forward guidance. Upcoming June data releases on CPI and employment will be the final inputs before the decision, though the absence of major surprises in the prior month has reinforced the baseline for broad agreement.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$30,017
结束日期
2026-06-17
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"0",概率为 79%,其次是"1",概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 79¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 79%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?"已产生 $30K 的总交易量(自Apr 29, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?"的当前领先者是"0",概率为 79%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 79%。紧随其后的结果是"1",概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。