The June 16-17 FOMC meeting carries a 72.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents, reflecting trader consensus that recent communications and data have narrowed policy divisions after the April meeting produced four. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, driven by energy prices and tariffs, alongside a stable labor market with low average job gains and an unemployment rate near 4.3%, supports expectations for a steady funds rate at current levels without an easing bias in the statement. This setup aligns with the median SEP projection of limited further easing in 2026 and reduces the scope for the splits seen when regional presidents objected to forward guidance. Upcoming June data releases on CPI and employment will be the final inputs before the decision, though the absence of major surprises in the prior month has reinforced the baseline for broad agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 79%
1 12%
2 8%
3 1.3%
$30,017 交易量
$30,017 交易量
0
79%
1
12%
2
8%
3
1%
4+
1%
0 79%
1 12%
2 8%
3 1.3%
$30,017 交易量
$30,017 交易量
0
79%
1
12%
2
8%
3
1%
4+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 16-17 FOMC meeting carries a 72.5% market-implied probability of zero dissents, reflecting trader consensus that recent communications and data have narrowed policy divisions after the April meeting produced four. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, driven by energy prices and tariffs, alongside a stable labor market with low average job gains and an unemployment rate near 4.3%, supports expectations for a steady funds rate at current levels without an easing bias in the statement. This setup aligns with the median SEP projection of limited further easing in 2026 and reduces the scope for the splits seen when regional presidents objected to forward guidance. Upcoming June data releases on CPI and employment will be the final inputs before the decision, though the absence of major surprises in the prior month has reinforced the baseline for broad agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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