Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest observations and forecasts drive the 100% market-implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 13, 2026, amid a dominant Pacific high-pressure ridge promoting sinking air, clear skies, and efficient diurnal heating in the subtropical climate. Early station data from Taipei observatories already show midday readings nearing 28°C, consistent with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks of 28–29°C, well above the mid-May climatological average of 28.5°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or a sudden sea breeze surge introducing cooler maritime air, potentially capping the high below 28°C—though current upper-air patterns make this unlikely. Final CWA daily report expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on May 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 13?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,554 交易量
$38,554 交易量
2026-05-13
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,554 交易量
$38,554 交易量
2026-05-13
18°C or below
$505 交易量
No
19°C
$743 交易量
No
20°C
$641 交易量
No
21°C
$1,455 交易量
No
22°C
$1,831 交易量
No
23°C
$2,309 交易量
No
24°C
$4,094 交易量
No
25°C
$4,286 交易量
No
26°C
$8,048 交易量
No
27°C
$9,445 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$5,197 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest observations and forecasts drive the 100% market-implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 13, 2026, amid a dominant Pacific high-pressure ridge promoting sinking air, clear skies, and efficient diurnal heating in the subtropical climate. Early station data from Taipei observatories already show midday readings nearing 28°C, consistent with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks of 28–29°C, well above the mid-May climatological average of 28.5°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or a sudden sea breeze surge introducing cooler maritime air, potentially capping the high below 28°C—though current upper-air patterns make this unlikely. Final CWA daily report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
交易量
$38,554结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:53 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest observations and forecasts drive the 100% market-implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 13, 2026, amid a dominant Pacific high-pressure ridge promoting sinking air, clear skies, and efficient diurnal heating in the subtropical climate. Early station data from Taipei observatories already show midday readings nearing 28°C, consistent with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks of 28–29°C, well above the mid-May climatological average of 28.5°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or a sudden sea breeze surge introducing cooler maritime air, potentially capping the high below 28°C—though current upper-air patterns make this unlikely. Final CWA daily report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$38,554结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:53 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest observations and forecasts drive the 100% market-implied probability for Taipei's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 13, 2026, amid a dominant Pacific high-pressure ridge promoting sinking air, clear skies, and efficient diurnal heating in the subtropical climate. Early station data from Taipei observatories already show midday readings nearing 28°C, consistent with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks of 28–29°C, well above the mid-May climatological average of 28.5°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or a sudden sea breeze surge introducing cooler maritime air, potentially capping the high below 28°C—though current upper-air patterns make this unlikely. Final CWA daily report expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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