Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Shanghai on August 14, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow that limits daytime heating and solar insolation. This consensus aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August while reflecting current synoptic conditions that suppress typical summer warmth. Market-implied odds near 100% for 28°C capture traders' assessment of limited upside potential in the absence of rapid model shifts. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow temperatures to edge toward 29–30°C before resolution, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日上海气温最高？
8月14日上海气温最高？
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,947 交易量
$139,947 交易量
2026-08-14
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,947 交易量
$139,947 交易量
2026-08-14
24°C or below
$3,955 交易量
No
25°C
$3,235 交易量
No
26°C
$8,220 交易量
No
27°C
$21,880 交易量
No
28°C
$43,875 交易量
Yes
29°C
$22,838 交易量
No
30°C
$17,493 交易量
No
31°C
$9,362 交易量
No
32°C
$5,883 交易量
No
33°C
$1,259 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$1,947 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Shanghai on August 14, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow that limits daytime heating and solar insolation. This consensus aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August while reflecting current synoptic conditions that suppress typical summer warmth. Market-implied odds near 100% for 28°C capture traders' assessment of limited upside potential in the absence of rapid model shifts. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow temperatures to edge toward 29–30°C before resolution, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$139,947结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Shanghai on August 14, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow that limits daytime heating and solar insolation. This consensus aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August while reflecting current synoptic conditions that suppress typical summer warmth. Market-implied odds near 100% for 28°C capture traders' assessment of limited upside potential in the absence of rapid model shifts. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow temperatures to edge toward 29–30°C before resolution, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$139,947结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Shanghai on August 14, 2026, under persistent overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly flow that limits daytime heating and solar insolation. This consensus aligns closely with climatological averages for mid-August while reflecting current synoptic conditions that suppress typical summer warmth. Market-implied odds near 100% for 28°C capture traders' assessment of limited upside potential in the absence of rapid model shifts. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow temperatures to edge toward 29–30°C before resolution, though such deviations remain low-probability based on the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题