Current atmospheric conditions over Moscow have produced a verified daily maximum surface air temperature of 18°C, as measured by official meteorological stations and consistent with model consensus from agencies tracking regional synoptic patterns. This outcome reflects cooler-than-average August advection of maritime air masses, suppressing typical seasonal highs near 22°C. The market's near-certain positioning on 18°C stems from real-time observational data and the proximity to day's end, leaving minimal scope for further warming. Only an unforecast late-day surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current stability in pressure and wind fields makes such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日莫斯科最高气温?
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,002 交易量
$37,002 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,002 交易量
$37,002 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current atmospheric conditions over Moscow have produced a verified daily maximum surface air temperature of 18°C, as measured by official meteorological stations and consistent with model consensus from agencies tracking regional synoptic patterns. This outcome reflects cooler-than-average August advection of maritime air masses, suppressing typical seasonal highs near 22°C. The market's near-certain positioning on 18°C stems from real-time observational data and the proximity to day's end, leaving minimal scope for further warming. Only an unforecast late-day surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current stability in pressure and wind fields makes such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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