The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for the Valle de México projects a maximum temperature of 23-25°C on May 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to nublado conditions with possible afternoon chubascos, driving traders' 100% implied probability on 22°C or higher at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX). This aligns with Mexico City's dry-season climatology, where May highs average 24-27°C amid high-altitude subtropical conditions and urban heat island amplification. Observational baselines from recent days and historical analogs reinforce confidence, as morning bruma gives way to peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include prolonged convective activity suppressing insolation, though forecast model consensus deems this low-risk ahead of evening data finalization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 13?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$25,933 交易量
$25,933 交易量
2026-05-13
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$25,933 交易量
$25,933 交易量
2026-05-13
12°C or below
$4,229 交易量
No
13°C
$963 交易量
No
14°C
$946 交易量
No
15°C
$1,971 交易量
No
16°C
$2,347 交易量
No
17°C
$901 交易量
No
18°C
$1,311 交易量
No
19°C
$2,363 交易量
No
20°C
$3,681 交易量
No
21°C
$2,919 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$4,301 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for the Valle de México projects a maximum temperature of 23-25°C on May 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to nublado conditions with possible afternoon chubascos, driving traders' 100% implied probability on 22°C or higher at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX). This aligns with Mexico City's dry-season climatology, where May highs average 24-27°C amid high-altitude subtropical conditions and urban heat island amplification. Observational baselines from recent days and historical analogs reinforce confidence, as morning bruma gives way to peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include prolonged convective activity suppressing insolation, though forecast model consensus deems this low-risk ahead of evening data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$25,933结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for the Valle de México projects a maximum temperature of 23-25°C on May 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to nublado conditions with possible afternoon chubascos, driving traders' 100% implied probability on 22°C or higher at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX). This aligns with Mexico City's dry-season climatology, where May highs average 24-27°C amid high-altitude subtropical conditions and urban heat island amplification. Observational baselines from recent days and historical analogs reinforce confidence, as morning bruma gives way to peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include prolonged convective activity suppressing insolation, though forecast model consensus deems this low-risk ahead of evening data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$25,933结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for the Valle de México projects a maximum temperature of 23-25°C on May 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to nublado conditions with possible afternoon chubascos, driving traders' 100% implied probability on 22°C or higher at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX). This aligns with Mexico City's dry-season climatology, where May highs average 24-27°C amid high-altitude subtropical conditions and urban heat island amplification. Observational baselines from recent days and historical analogs reinforce confidence, as morning bruma gives way to peak afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include prolonged convective activity suppressing insolation, though forecast model consensus deems this low-risk ahead of evening data finalization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题