The market's near-certain positioning on a 32°C daily maximum for Manila reflects current PAGASA station observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures aligning with typical August conditions under the southwest monsoon, where urban heat and humidity sustain highs near seasonal averages of 31°C. Recent data indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms moderating but not suppressing the peak, consistent with historical baselines for the period. Resolution hinges on the official PAGASA Science Garden reading, with potential shifts possible from localized rain timing, station-specific microclimate variations, or late-day updates that could revise the recorded high downward.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月16日马尼拉的最高温度？
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,675 交易量
$35,675 交易量
2026-08-16
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,675 交易量
$35,675 交易量
2026-08-16
24°C或以下
$300 交易量
否
25°C
$322 交易量
否
26°C
$427 交易量
否
27°C
$792 交易量
否
28°C
$2,273 交易量
否
29°C
$3,605 交易量
否
30°C
$7,126 交易量
否
31°C
$4,547 交易量
否
32°C
$7,562 交易量
是
33°C
$4,496 交易量
否
34°C或更高
$4,224 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning on a 32°C daily maximum for Manila reflects current PAGASA station observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures aligning with typical August conditions under the southwest monsoon, where urban heat and humidity sustain highs near seasonal averages of 31°C. Recent data indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms moderating but not suppressing the peak, consistent with historical baselines for the period. Resolution hinges on the official PAGASA Science Garden reading, with potential shifts possible from localized rain timing, station-specific microclimate variations, or late-day updates that could revise the recorded high downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$35,675结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning on a 32°C daily maximum for Manila reflects current PAGASA station observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures aligning with typical August conditions under the southwest monsoon, where urban heat and humidity sustain highs near seasonal averages of 31°C. Recent data indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms moderating but not suppressing the peak, consistent with historical baselines for the period. Resolution hinges on the official PAGASA Science Garden reading, with potential shifts possible from localized rain timing, station-specific microclimate variations, or late-day updates that could revise the recorded high downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,675结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The market's near-certain positioning on a 32°C daily maximum for Manila reflects current PAGASA station observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures aligning with typical August conditions under the southwest monsoon, where urban heat and humidity sustain highs near seasonal averages of 31°C. Recent data indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms moderating but not suppressing the peak, consistent with historical baselines for the period. Resolution hinges on the official PAGASA Science Garden reading, with potential shifts possible from localized rain timing, station-specific microclimate variations, or late-day updates that could revise the recorded high downward.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题