Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月14日马尼拉的最高温度？
28°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,926 交易量
$59,926 交易量
2026-08-14
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,926 交易量
$59,926 交易量
2026-08-14
25°C或以下
$358 交易量
否
26°C
$3,267 交易量
否
27°C
$23,953 交易量
否
28°C
$7,595 交易量
是
29°C
$5,660 交易量
否
30°C
$5,206 交易量
否
31°C
$5,898 交易量
否
32°C
$3,494 交易量
否
33°C
$1,497 交易量
否
34°C
$1,461 交易量
否
35°C或更高
$1,538 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$59,926结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,926结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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