Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月16日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,267 交易量
$35,267 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,267 交易量
$35,267 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
$744 交易量
No
23°C
$1,052 交易量
No
24°C
$3,331 交易量
No
25°C
$7,237 交易量
No
26°C
$10,242 交易量
Yes
27°C
$7,220 交易量
No
28°C
$2,810 交易量
No
29°C
$694 交易量
No
30°C
$836 交易量
No
31°C
$899 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$202 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$35,267结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,267结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题