Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$653,114 交易量
$653,114 交易量
2026-05-09
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$653,114 交易量
$653,114 交易量
2026-05-09
17°C or below
$12,359 交易量
No
18°C
$3,612 交易量
No
19°C
$1,658 交易量
No
20°C
$11,870 交易量
No
21°C
$7,626 交易量
No
22°C
$19,989 交易量
No
23°C
$65,422 交易量
No
24°C
$138,689 交易量
No
25°C
$225,024 交易量
No
26°C
$94,431 交易量
Yes
27°C or higher
$72,433 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$653,114结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$653,114结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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