Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$265,117 交易量
$265,117 交易量
2026-05-11
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$265,117 交易量
$265,117 交易量
2026-05-11
20°C or below
$2,600 交易量
No
21°C
$2,326 交易量
No
22°C
$1,715 交易量
No
23°C
$3,293 交易量
No
24°C
$6,983 交易量
No
25°C
$32,935 交易量
No
26°C
$27,231 交易量
No
27°C
$52,402 交易量
No
28°C
$58,908 交易量
Yes
29°C
$45,524 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$31,200 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ET
交易量
$265,117结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$265,117结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 3:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's verified observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 28°C on May 11, 2026, at the Observatory headquarters, measured per World Meteorological Organization standards at 1.5 meters above ground in a shaded, ventilated shelter—driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mid-May climatology in Hong Kong typically sees maximums of 28–29°C under subtropical ridge influence, with urban heat island amplification and soil moisture from prior rainy days capping extremes amid normal to above-normal seasonal forecasts. Model ensembles and regional station data corroborated this peak during brief clearer intervals. Realistic challenges would demand a rare data correction from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked remote station outlier exceeding headquarters readings, improbable given comprehensive end-of-day validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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