The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 8?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$346,342 交易量
$346,342 交易量
2026-06-08
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$346,342 交易量
$346,342 交易量
2026-06-08
24°C or below
$2,031 交易量
No
25°C
$1,289 交易量
No
26°C
$3,205 交易量
No
27°C
$23,337 交易量
No
28°C
$40,042 交易量
No
29°C
$41,043 交易量
No
30°C
$63,073 交易量
Yes
31°C
$62,733 交易量
No
32°C
$58,977 交易量
No
33°C
$36,151 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$14,461 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
交易量
$346,342结束日期
2026-06-08市场开放时间
Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$346,342结束日期
2026-06-08市场开放时间
Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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